Burnley 1:1 Middlesbrough: xG & match report · Championship

Wednesday, 02/09/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Burnley Home 0.64 xG · 11 shots

Middlesbrough Away 1.22 xG · 10 shots

11 Middlesbrough had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

23' Aidan Morris Middlesbrough · 0.04 xG chance 0–1
54' Ugo Raghouber Burnley · 0.06 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Burnley Middlesbrough

Shots: 11; 10
On target: 3; 2
Inside the box: 6; 4
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.46; 1.18
Set-piece xG: 0.18; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.22 for Middlesbrough.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 1.90 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Burnley
Middlesbrough
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Burnley

1.63 xG created 1.75 xGA

D 2.33 created, 1.33 conceded against West Ham United
L 1.18 created, 1.63 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 1.38 created, 2.30 conceded against Norwich City

Middlesbrough

2.06 xG created 0.99 xGA

W 1.83 created, 0.48 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
W 2.30 created, 0.85 conceded against Watford
D 2.12 created, 1.70 conceded against Wrexham
W 2.23 created, 0.57 conceded against Lincoln City
L 1.43 created, 0.91 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
W 2.46 created, 1.40 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.