xgEdge

Saturday, 07/03/2026 at 16:00

Full time
Match report · Championship

Charlton Athletic 1:0 Birmingham City

Charlton Athletic Home 0.92 xG · 12 shots
Birmingham City Away 0.32 xG · 7 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 74' Charlie Kelman Charlton Athletic · 0.12 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Charlton Athletic Birmingham City
Shots
12
7
On target
4
1
Inside the box
9
1
xG per shot
0.08
0.05
Open play xG
0.71
0.22
Set-piece xG
0.20
0.10
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.93 for Charlton Athletic and 0.32 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Charlton Athletic · Greg Docherty · 33' · No goal · 6 m · 0.23 xG Charlton Athletic · Harry Clarke · 21' · No goal · 9 m · 0.19 xG Charlton Athletic · Charlie Kelman · 74' · Goal · 10 m · 0.12 xG Birmingham City · Ibrahim Osman · 80' · No goal · 12 m · 0.10 xG Charlton Athletic · Sonny Carey · 89' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Birmingham City · Demarai Gray · 27' · No goal · 19 m · 0.07 xG Charlton Athletic · Charlie Kelman · 87' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Birmingham City · Carlos Vicente · 65' · No goal · 18 m · 0.06 xG Charlton Athletic · Kayne Ramsay · 87' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG Charlton Athletic · Miles Leaburn · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Birmingham City · Marvin Ducksch · 69' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG Charlton Athletic · Tyreece Campbell · 53' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Charlton Athletic · Lyndon Dykes · 19' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Charlton Athletic · Sonny Carey · 27' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Charlton Athletic · Harry Clarke · 76' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 78' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Tomoki Iwata · 66' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Seung Ho Paik · 65' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Charlton Athletic · Sonny Carey · 27' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

19 shots · 1.24 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Charlton Athletic
  • Birmingham City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Charlton Athletic

1.12 xG created 0.98 xGA

  • D 1.11 created, 0.71 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 2.31 created, 0.50 conceded against Stoke City
  • L 0.80 created, 1.14 conceded against Portsmouth
  • D 0.85 created, 1.04 conceded against Southampton
  • D 0.30 created, 1.96 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 1.34 created, 0.53 conceded against Wrexham
Birmingham City

0.99 xG created 0.83 xGA

  • W 0.80 created, 0.46 conceded against Oxford United
  • W 1.84 created, 0.38 conceded against Leicester City
  • D 1.27 created, 0.44 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 1.32 created, 1.40 conceded against Norwich City
  • L 0.12 created, 1.21 conceded against Millwall
  • L 0.61 created, 1.07 conceded against Middlesbrough

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Charlton Athletic: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.