Monday, 02/03/2026 at 21:00
Full timeBirmingham City 1:3 Middlesbrough
Goals
- 13' Matt Targett Middlesbrough · 0.54 xG chance 0–1
- 26' Matt Targett Middlesbrough · 0.21 xG chance 0–2
- 48' Marvin Ducksch Birmingham City · 0.13 xG chance 1–2
- 60' David Strelec Middlesbrough · 0.15 xG chance 1–3
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 11
- 10
- On target
- 7
- 3
- Inside the box
- 5
- 8
- xG per shot
- 0.05
- 0.11
- Open play xG
- 0.51
- 1.00
- Set-piece xG
- 0.07
- 0.07
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.61 for Birmingham City and 1.08 for Middlesbrough.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
21 shots · 1.65 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Birmingham City
- Middlesbrough
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.20 xG created 0.70 xGA
- D 1.87 created, 0.33 conceded against Stoke City
- W 0.80 created, 0.46 conceded against Oxford United
- W 1.84 created, 0.38 conceded against Leicester City
- D 1.27 created, 0.44 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
- W 1.32 created, 1.40 conceded against Norwich City
- L 0.12 created, 1.21 conceded against Millwall
1.54 xG created 0.89 xGA
- W 2.83 created, 0.40 conceded against Preston North End
- W 0.43 created, 0.53 conceded against Norwich City
- W 1.44 created, 0.88 conceded against Sheffield United
- L 1.17 created, 1.79 conceded against Coventry City
- D 2.15 created, 0.82 conceded against Oxford United
- D 1.19 created, 0.89 conceded against Leicester City
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.