xgEdge

Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 16:00

Full time
Match report · Championship

Oxford United 0:2 Birmingham City

Oxford United Home 0.46 xG · 9 shots
Birmingham City Away 0.80 xG · 12 shots
02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 23' Myles Peart-Harris (o.g.) Birmingham City 0–1
  2. 66' Marvin Ducksch Birmingham City · 0.06 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Oxford United Birmingham City
Shots
9
12
On target
4
3
Inside the box
5
8
xG per shot
0.05
0.07
Open play xG
0.43
0.65
Set-piece xG
0.03
0.14
Penalties
—
—

Oxford United's shots add up to 0.47 xG and Birmingham City's to 0.79; the published figures are 0.46 and 0.80.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Oxford United · Ole Romeny · 88' · No goal · 11 m · 0.15 xG Birmingham City · Christoph Klarer · 37' · No goal · 3 m · 0.14 xG Birmingham City · Marvin Ducksch · 34' · No goal · 12 m · 0.14 xG Birmingham City · Ibrahim Osman · 48' · No goal · 5 m · 0.12 xG Birmingham City · Tomoki Iwata · 34' · No goal · 11 m · 0.07 xG Oxford United · Myles Peart-Harris · 4' · No goal · 16 m · 0.07 xG Birmingham City · Jhon Solís · 34' · No goal · 18 m · 0.07 xG Oxford United · Ole Romeny · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Birmingham City · Jhon Solís · 56' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Birmingham City · Marvin Ducksch · 66' · Goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG Oxford United · Matt Phillips · 1' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 38' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Birmingham City · August Priske · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Birmingham City · Seung Ho Paik · 45' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Sam Long · 74' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Patrick Roberts · 56' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 25' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Przemysław Płacheta · 62' · No goal · 30 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 90' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 41' · No goal · 30 m · 0.01 xG Birmingham City · Myles Peart-Harris · 23' · Goal · 1 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

21 shots · 1.26 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Oxford United
  • Birmingham City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Oxford United

1.07 xG created 0.88 xGA

  • W 0.91 created, 1.44 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.48 created, 0.79 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 1.08 created, 1.43 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • D 1.20 created, 0.44 conceded against Bristol City
  • D 0.83 created, 0.61 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 1.94 created, 0.59 conceded against Leicester City
Birmingham City

1.50 xG created 1.09 xGA

  • D 1.70 created, 1.36 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.40 created, 1.56 conceded against Watford
  • W 1.27 created, 1.33 conceded against Coventry City
  • D 1.02 created, 1.60 conceded against Swansea City
  • W 2.76 created, 0.36 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 1.87 created, 0.33 conceded against Stoke City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Oxford United: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.