xgEdge

Wednesday, 25/02/2026 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Millwall 3:0 Birmingham City

Millwall Home 1.21 xG · 11 shots
Birmingham City Away 0.12 xG · 5 shots
30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 25' Femi Azeez Millwall · 0.03 xG chance 1–0
  2. 31' Tristan Crama Millwall · 0.35 xG chance 2–0
  3. 49' Jake Cooper Millwall · 0.39 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Millwall Birmingham City
Shots
11
5
On target
5
2
Inside the box
9
3
xG per shot
0.11
0.02
Open play xG
0.34
0.05
Set-piece xG
0.88
0.06
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.23 for Millwall and 0.12 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Millwall · Jake Cooper · 49' · Goal · 5 m · 0.39 xG Millwall · Tristan Crama · 31' · Goal · 8 m · 0.35 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 90' · No goal · 16 m · 0.13 xG Millwall · Josh Coburn · 16' · No goal · 8 m · 0.12 xG Millwall · Mihailo Ivanović · 70' · No goal · 5 m · 0.09 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 72' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Birmingham City · Jay Stansfield · 23' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 31' · No goal · 31 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 25' · Goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Macaulay Langstaff · 82' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Jhon Solís · 45' · No goal · 10 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Ibrahim Osman · 24' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · August Priske · 32' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Birmingham City · Jhon Solís · 15' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Millwall · Casper De Norre · 83' · No goal · 10 m · 0.01 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 41' · No goal · 21 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

16 shots · 1.33 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Millwall
  • Birmingham City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Millwall

1.53 xG created 1.26 xGA

  • L 0.98 created, 2.51 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 3.91 created, 0.14 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • D 1.38 created, 1.22 conceded against Sheffield United
  • W 0.58 created, 1.53 conceded against Wrexham
  • W 1.92 created, 0.92 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • L 0.42 created, 1.22 conceded against Portsmouth
Birmingham City

1.64 xG created 0.56 xGA

  • W 2.76 created, 0.36 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 1.87 created, 0.33 conceded against Stoke City
  • W 0.80 created, 0.46 conceded against Oxford United
  • W 1.84 created, 0.38 conceded against Leicester City
  • D 1.27 created, 0.44 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 1.32 created, 1.40 conceded against Norwich City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Millwall: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.