Charlton Athletic 2:1 Derby County: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 15/08/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Charlton Athletic Home 0.97 xG · 13 shots

Derby County Away 1.00 xG · 15 shots

21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

23' Sammie Szmodics Derby County · 0.14 xG chance 0–1
61' Lloyd Jones Charlton Athletic · 0.20 xG chance 1–1
80' Tyreece Campbell Charlton Athletic · 0.09 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Charlton Athletic Derby County

Shots: 13; 15
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 9; 11
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.41; 0.83
Set-piece xG: 0.63; 0.20
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.07 for Charlton Athletic and 1.01 for Derby County.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.07 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Charlton Athletic
Derby County
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Charlton Athletic

1.18 xG created 1.21 xGA

D 2.11 created, 1.13 conceded against Watford
L 1.32 created, 1.32 conceded against Preston North End
D 1.26 created, 0.86 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 0.33 created, 1.87 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 1.11 created, 0.94 conceded against Hull City
L 0.96 created, 1.16 conceded against Swansea City

Derby County

1.50 xG created 1.43 xGA

W 2.57 created, 0.30 conceded against Stoke City
L 0.91 created, 1.73 conceded against Southampton
W 1.03 created, 0.67 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.24 created, 1.54 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.13 created, 2.48 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
L 2.11 created, 1.85 conceded against Sheffield United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Charlton Athletic: 0 won · 1 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.