xgEdge

Club

Derby County 2026/2027

Championship 2026/2027 →

Derby County right now

Derby County are having a difficult season and sit 23rd in Championship. A -7.57 xG difference sits behind 6 points from 11 matches, which suggests the results reflect poor underlying performances. They have scored slightly below their 10.55 xG (−1.55), while conceding slightly more than the 18.12 xG against them (+1.88). Their recent form is running ahead of their season: -0.13 xG difference a match over the last 6 matches, against -0.71 overall.

How Derby County compares

Open the match page for Sheffield United

Next match Championship · Sat 24/10

Away Sheffield United

1.31 Projected expected goals 1.19
Model probability
Sheffield United
37%
Draw
32%
Derby County
31%

Data coverage: Full

Open the match page for Stoke City

Last result Championship · Sat 17/10

Home Stoke City

0:1 Loss

Expected goals
0.99 – 0.56
xG difference
+0.43

Lost despite creating more

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
4.0 0.0 Sat 15/08 Sat 17/10 Sat 15/08 Charlton Athletic · Expected goals 1.00 Sat 22/08 Cardiff City · Expected goals 1.62 Sat 29/08 Swansea City · Expected goals 0.70 Tue 01/09 Portsmouth · Expected goals 0.55 Sat 05/09 West Ham United · Expected goals 0.11 Wed 09/09 West Bromwich Albion · Expected goals 1.27 Sat 12/09 Birmingham City · Expected goals 1.11 Sat 19/09 Burnley · Expected goals 1.75 Sat 10/10 Wrexham · Expected goals 0.60 Wed 14/10 Queens Park Rangers · Expected goals 0.85 Sat 17/10 Stoke City · Expected goals 0.99 Sat 15/08 Charlton Athletic · Expected goals conceded 0.97 Sat 22/08 Cardiff City · Expected goals conceded 1.98 Sat 29/08 Swansea City · Expected goals conceded 3.00 Tue 01/09 Portsmouth · Expected goals conceded 0.84 Sat 05/09 West Ham United · Expected goals conceded 3.79 Wed 09/09 West Bromwich Albion · Expected goals conceded 0.38 Sat 12/09 Birmingham City · Expected goals conceded 3.17 Sat 19/09 Burnley · Expected goals conceded 0.45 Sat 10/10 Wrexham · Expected goals conceded 1.46 Wed 14/10 Queens Park Rangers · Expected goals conceded 1.52 Sat 17/10 Stoke City · Expected goals conceded 0.56
The season so far 11 matches, as they add up -7.57 xG difference -0.69 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: Derby County's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sat 15/08 Charlton Athletic Away 1:2 1.00 0.97 +0.03 1
Sat 22/08 Cardiff City Home 2:2 1.62 1.98 -0.36 2
Sat 29/08 Swansea City Home 0:3 0.70 3.00 -2.30 0
Tue 01/09 Portsmouth Away 2:0 0.55 0.84 -0.29 2
Sat 05/09 West Ham United Away 0:3 0.11 3.79 -3.68 0
Wed 09/09 West Bromwich Albion Home 0:1 1.27 0.38 +0.89 0
Sat 12/09 Birmingham City Home 1:2 1.11 3.17 -2.06 1
Sat 19/09 Burnley Away 1:1 1.75 0.45 +1.30 1
Sat 10/10 Wrexham Home 1:1 0.60 1.46 -0.86 1
Wed 14/10 Queens Park Rangers Away 1:4 0.85 1.52 -0.67 1
Sat 17/10 Stoke City Home 0:1 0.99 0.56 +0.43 0
The season so far 10.55 18.12 9

Finishing

-1.55

Goals vs xG

Defending

+1.88

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

-5.78

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

Key players

Bobby Clark M 2.94 910 min · 2G · xG 1.72 · xA 1.22
Sammie Szmodics M 1.87 774 min · 3G · xG 1.55 · xA 0.32
Carlton Morris F 1.80 595 min · 1G · xG 1.24 · xA 0.56
Ryan Hedges F 1.61 627 min · 0G · xG 0.80 · xA 0.81
xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Championship 2026/2027 How the model works →