xgEdge

Saturday, 18/04/2026 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Derby County 1:0 Oxford United

Derby County Home 1.03 xG · 15 shots
Oxford United Away 0.67 xG · 11 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 22' Jaydon Banel Derby County · 0.13 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Derby County Oxford United
Shots
15
11
On target
2
0
Inside the box
8
5
xG per shot
0.07
0.06
Open play xG
0.63
0.69
Set-piece xG
0.44
0.00
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.07 for Derby County and 0.68 for Oxford United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Derby County · Sammie Szmodics · 81' · No goal · 4 m · 0.22 xG Oxford United · Mark Harris · 90' · No goal · 7 m · 0.18 xG Derby County · Jaydon Banel · 22' · Goal · 19 m · 0.13 xG Derby County · Carlton Morris · 44' · No goal · 8 m · 0.13 xG Oxford United · Yunus Konak · 69' · No goal · 19 m · 0.12 xG Derby County · Jaydon Banel · 65' · No goal · 10 m · 0.12 xG Derby County · Jaydon Banel · 6' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Derby County · Jaydon Banel · 28' · No goal · 5 m · 0.10 xG Derby County · Sammie Szmodics · 55' · No goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG Oxford United · Jamie Donley · 10' · No goal · 16 m · 0.10 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 57' · No goal · 23 m · 0.09 xG Oxford United · Jamie Donley · 42' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Derby County · Sammie Szmodics · 31' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 52' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Derby County · Derry Murkin · 50' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Derby County · Derry Murkin · 13' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 85' · No goal · 28 m · 0.03 xG Derby County · Ben Brereton Díaz · 59' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 8' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 24' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Joe Ward · 56' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Oscar Fraulo · 73' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Matt Clarke · 41' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Cameron Brannagan · 34' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG Derby County · Joe Ward · 18' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

26 shots · 1.76 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Derby County
  • Oxford United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Derby County

1.53 xG created 1.15 xGA

  • L 1.25 created, 1.45 conceded against Millwall
  • W 1.00 created, 1.72 conceded against Portsmouth
  • W 1.16 created, 0.15 conceded against Birmingham City
  • L 2.27 created, 1.57 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 2.57 created, 0.30 conceded against Stoke City
  • L 0.91 created, 1.73 conceded against Southampton
Oxford United

1.70 xG created 1.02 xGA

  • W 1.16 created, 0.45 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 1.34 created, 0.93 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 1.07 created, 2.15 conceded against Southampton
  • D 3.44 created, 0.82 conceded against Hull City
  • D 1.35 created, 0.93 conceded against Portsmouth
  • W 1.86 created, 0.81 conceded against Watford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Derby County: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.