xgEdge

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Hull City 2:1 Swansea City

Hull City Home 1.62 xG · 10 shots
Swansea City Away 2.05 xG · 16 shots
21 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 24' Oli McBurnie (pen.) Hull City · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
  2. 39' Regan Slater Hull City · 0.06 xG chance 2–0
  3. 59' Liam Cullen Swansea City · 0.10 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Hull City Swansea City
Shots
10
16
On target
7
4
Inside the box
6
9
xG per shot
0.17
0.13
Open play xG
0.80
1.28
Set-piece xG
0.06
0.82
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.85 for Hull City and 2.05 for Swansea City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Hull City · Oli McBurnie · 24' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 29' · No goal · 4 m · 0.80 xG Swansea City · Liam Cullen · 57' · No goal · 7 m · 0.33 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 36' · No goal · 7 m · 0.31 xG Hull City · Kyle Joseph · 74' · No goal · 4 m · 0.25 xG Swansea City · Ben Cabango · 14' · No goal · 3 m · 0.20 xG Hull City · Kyle Joseph · 28' · No goal · 8 m · 0.14 xG Hull City · John Egan · 65' · No goal · 4 m · 0.13 xG Hull City · Joe Gelhardt · 42' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Swansea City · Liam Cullen · 59' · Goal · 3 m · 0.10 xG Swansea City · Ben Cabango · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.09 xG Swansea City · Liam Cullen · 58' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG Hull City · Regan Slater · 39' · Goal · 21 m · 0.06 xG Hull City · Liam Millar · 43' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Hull City · Yu Hirakawa · 74' · No goal · 23 m · 0.05 xG Hull City · Liam Millar · 44' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Swansea City · Liam Cullen · 53' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Gonçalo Franco · 53' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Melker Widell · 86' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 86' · No goal · 8 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Josh Tymon · 55' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 45' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Jay Fulton · 51' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Marko Stamenić · 69' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Hull City · Oli McBurnie · 18' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Ji-sung Eom · 48' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

26 shots · 3.79 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Hull City
  • Swansea City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Hull City

1.12 xG created 1.64 xGA

  • W 1.29 created, 1.34 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • D 1.52 created, 1.56 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • W 0.29 created, 1.47 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 1.31 created, 1.65 conceded against Stoke City
  • W 0.62 created, 2.93 conceded against Southampton
  • W 1.67 created, 0.90 conceded against Preston North End
Swansea City

1.06 xG created 1.13 xGA

  • L 1.22 created, 1.30 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 0.79 created, 0.48 conceded against Oxford United
  • W 0.67 created, 1.06 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 1.05 created, 1.93 conceded against Millwall
  • D 1.60 created, 1.02 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 1.01 created, 0.98 conceded against Blackburn Rovers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Hull City: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.