Swansea City 1:1 Birmingham City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Swansea City Home 1.60 xG · 19 shots

Birmingham City Away 1.02 xG · 12 shots

11 Swansea City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

21' Žan Vipotnik Swansea City · 0.32 xG chance 1–0
72' Patrick Roberts Birmingham City · 0.19 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Swansea City Birmingham City

Shots: 19; 12
On target: 4; 1
Inside the box: 11; 10
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.04; 0.95
Set-piece xG: 0.53; 0.08
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.61 for Swansea City and 1.02 for Birmingham City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 2.61 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Swansea City
Birmingham City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Swansea City

1.18 xG created 0.93 xGA

L 1.25 created, 0.46 conceded against Stoke City
W 2.12 created, 0.35 conceded against Wrexham
L 1.22 created, 1.30 conceded against Coventry City
W 0.79 created, 0.48 conceded against Oxford United
W 0.67 created, 1.06 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 1.05 created, 1.93 conceded against Millwall

Birmingham City

1.37 xG created 1.49 xGA

D 1.24 created, 1.12 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 0.65 created, 2.80 conceded against Sheffield United
D 2.98 created, 0.79 conceded against Derby County
D 1.70 created, 1.36 conceded against Southampton
L 0.40 created, 1.56 conceded against Watford
W 1.27 created, 1.33 conceded against Coventry City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Swansea City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Birmingham City 1:0 Swansea City 20/09/2025 xG 2.41 – 1.43

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.