xgEdge

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 16:00

Full time
Match report · Championship

Southampton 1:2 Hull City

Southampton Home 2.93 xG · 22 shots
Hull City Away 0.62 xG · 9 shots
12 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 20' Kyle Joseph Hull City · 0.16 xG chance 0–1
  2. 34' Charlie Hughes Hull City · 0.16 xG chance 0–2
  3. 71' Ross Stewart Southampton · 0.53 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Southampton Hull City
Shots
22
9
On target
7
3
Inside the box
16
6
xG per shot
0.14
0.09
Open play xG
2.79
0.61
Set-piece xG
0.30
0.16
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.08 for Southampton and 0.77 for Hull City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Southampton · Caspar Jander · 15' · No goal · 5 m · 0.55 xG Southampton · Ross Stewart · 71' · Goal · 4 m · 0.53 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 10' · No goal · 5 m · 0.32 xG Southampton · Caspar Jander · 15' · No goal · 5 m · 0.29 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 15' · No goal · 4 m · 0.23 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 48' · No goal · 6 m · 0.16 xG Hull City · Kyle Joseph · 20' · Goal · 15 m · 0.16 xG Hull City · Charlie Hughes · 34' · Goal · 4 m · 0.16 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 51' · No goal · 16 m · 0.13 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 27' · No goal · 11 m · 0.13 xG Hull City · Liam Millar · 6' · No goal · 9 m · 0.11 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 15' · No goal · 5 m · 0.10 xG Southampton · Taylor Harwood-Bellis · 27' · No goal · 5 m · 0.09 xG Hull City · Kyle Joseph · 53' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 36' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Southampton · Ryan Manning · 60' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 43' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Southampton · Flynn Downes · 73' · No goal · 19 m · 0.07 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 57' · No goal · 21 m · 0.06 xG Hull City · Lewie Coyle · 64' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Hull City · Amir Hadžiahmetović · 68' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Hull City · Matt Crooks · 33' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Southampton · Caspar Jander · 75' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Hull City · Regan Slater · 78' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Hull City · Oli McBurnie · 52' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Tom Fellows · 24' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Ryan Manning · 17' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Ryan Manning · 69' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · Taylor Harwood-Bellis · 16' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 89' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 27' · No goal · 14 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

31 shots · 3.86 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Southampton
  • Hull City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Southampton

1.39 xG created 1.36 xGA

  • L 2.12 created, 1.33 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 1.32 created, 0.48 conceded against Coventry City
  • L 1.44 created, 0.91 conceded against Oxford United
  • D 1.36 created, 1.70 conceded against Birmingham City
  • D 0.96 created, 1.49 conceded against Millwall
  • L 1.12 created, 2.27 conceded against Middlesbrough
Hull City

1.56 xG created 1.36 xGA

  • W 2.93 created, 1.32 conceded against Wrexham
  • W 2.03 created, 0.82 conceded against Millwall
  • W 1.29 created, 1.34 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • D 1.52 created, 1.56 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • W 0.29 created, 1.47 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 1.31 created, 1.65 conceded against Stoke City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Southampton: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.