Sunday, 04/01/2026 at 16:00
Full timeMillwall 2:1 Swansea City
Goals
- 38' Mihailo Ivanović Millwall · 0.25 xG chance 1–0
- 47' Ben Cabango Swansea City · 0.55 xG chance 1–1
- 90' Caleb Taylor Millwall · 0.17 xG chance 2–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 17
- 13
- On target
- 9
- 7
- Inside the box
- 14
- 7
- xG per shot
- 0.12
- 0.08
- Open play xG
- 1.28
- 0.13
- Set-piece xG
- 0.72
- 0.95
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.02 for Millwall and 1.05 for Swansea City.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
30 shots · 3.07 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Millwall
- Swansea City
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
0.80 xG created 1.39 xGA
- D 0.91 created, 1.20 conceded against Derby County
- L 0.82 created, 2.03 conceded against Hull City
- L 0.59 created, 2.35 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
- D 0.36 created, 0.81 conceded against Ipswich Town
- W 0.63 created, 0.96 conceded against Bristol City
- D 1.49 created, 0.96 conceded against Southampton
1.15 xG created 0.74 xGA
- W 0.82 created, 0.80 conceded against Portsmouth
- L 1.25 created, 0.46 conceded against Stoke City
- W 2.12 created, 0.35 conceded against Wrexham
- L 1.22 created, 1.30 conceded against Coventry City
- W 0.79 created, 0.48 conceded against Oxford United
- W 0.67 created, 1.06 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.