Ipswich Town 2:2 Derby County: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 30/08/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Ipswich Town Home 2.91 xG · 18 shots

Derby County Away 1.48 xG · 10 shots

22 Ipswich Town had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

33' Jacob Greaves Ipswich Town · 0.38 xG chance 1–0
50' Carlton Morris (pen.) Derby County · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
70' Rhian Brewster Derby County · 0.28 xG chance 1–2
90' Jack Clarke (pen.) Ipswich Town · 0.82 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Ipswich Town Derby County

Shots: 18; 10
On target: 5; 2
Inside the box: 13; 6
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.15
Open play xG: 0.82; 0.49
Set-piece xG: 1.33; 0.23
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.12 for Ipswich Town and 0.70 for Derby County.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 4.51 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Ipswich Town
Derby County
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Ipswich Town

1.45 xG created 0.99 xGA

D 1.31 created, 1.38 conceded against Birmingham City
D 1.64 created, 0.75 conceded against Southampton
L 1.39 created, 0.84 conceded against Preston North End

Derby County

0.78 xG created 1.70 xGA

L 0.39 created, 1.09 conceded against Stoke City
L 1.48 created, 3.26 conceded against Coventry City
D 0.47 created, 0.76 conceded against Bristol City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.