Ipswich Town 2:1 Portsmouth: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Ipswich Town Home 1.53 xG · 14 shots

Portsmouth Away 0.89 xG · 7 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

10' Jaden Philogene-Bidace Ipswich Town · 0.02 xG chance 1–0
41' George Hirst Ipswich Town · 0.92 xG chance 2–0
90' Marlon Pack Portsmouth · 0.28 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Ipswich Town Portsmouth

Shots: 14; 7
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 10; 4
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.39; 0.60
Set-piece xG: 0.18; 0.28
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.53 for Ipswich Town and 0.89 for Portsmouth.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.45 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Ipswich Town
Portsmouth
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Ipswich Town

1.92 xG created 0.97 xGA

D 1.31 created, 1.38 conceded against Birmingham City
D 1.64 created, 0.75 conceded against Southampton
L 1.39 created, 0.84 conceded against Preston North End
D 2.91 created, 1.48 conceded against Derby County
W 2.33 created, 0.42 conceded against Sheffield United

Portsmouth

1.36 xG created 1.20 xGA

W 1.21 created, 1.37 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.76 created, 1.96 conceded against Norwich City
D 0.94 created, 0.59 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 1.58 created, 1.01 conceded against Preston North End
D 0.94 created, 1.18 conceded against Southampton
L 1.74 created, 1.07 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.