Leicester City 3:4 Southampton: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 10/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Leicester City Home 0.76 xG · 8 shots

Southampton Away 1.99 xG · 16 shots

34 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

9' Divine Mukasa Leicester City · 0.09 xG chance 1–0
13' Patson Daka Leicester City · 0.33 xG chance 2–0
29' Abdul Fatawu Issahaku Leicester City · 0.06 xG chance 3–0
61' Ross Stewart Southampton · 0.18 xG chance 3–1
82' Jack Stephens Southampton · 0.07 xG chance 3–2
87' Ryan Manning Southampton · 0.27 xG chance 3–3
90' Shea Charles Southampton · 0.05 xG chance 3–4

The shots behind it

Leicester City Southampton

Shots: 8; 16
On target: 3; 7
Inside the box: 5; 14
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.70; 1.17
Set-piece xG: 0.04; 0.79
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.76 for Leicester City and 1.99 for Southampton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 2.70 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Leicester City
Southampton
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Leicester City

0.92 xG created 1.62 xGA

W 0.81 created, 1.09 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 1.41 created, 2.45 conceded against Coventry City
D 0.39 created, 1.01 conceded against Wrexham
L 0.59 created, 1.94 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.92 created, 1.40 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 0.38 created, 1.84 conceded against Birmingham City

Southampton

1.40 xG created 1.21 xGA

L 1.12 created, 2.27 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 2.93 created, 0.62 conceded against Hull City
W 0.82 created, 1.13 conceded against Sheffield United
D 1.11 created, 1.66 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.59 created, 0.89 conceded against Stoke City
W 0.80 created, 0.68 conceded against Watford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Leicester City: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Southampton 3:0 Leicester City 25/11/2025 xG 2.41 – 0.44

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.