Southampton 1:0 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Southampton Home 0.80 xG · 6 shots

Watford Away 0.68 xG · 11 shots

10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

70' Cyle Larin Southampton · 0.15 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Southampton Watford

Shots: 6; 11
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 5; 6
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.66; 0.28
Set-piece xG: 0.21; 0.43
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.86 for Southampton and 0.68 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

17 shots · 1.57 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Southampton
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Southampton

1.42 xG created 1.34 xGA

D 0.96 created, 1.49 conceded against Millwall
L 1.12 created, 2.27 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 2.93 created, 0.62 conceded against Hull City
W 0.82 created, 1.13 conceded against Sheffield United
D 1.11 created, 1.66 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.59 created, 0.89 conceded against Stoke City

Watford

0.97 xG created 1.09 xGA

W 1.56 created, 0.40 conceded against Birmingham City
L 0.54 created, 1.57 conceded against Millwall
D 0.80 created, 0.62 conceded against Portsmouth
D 1.15 created, 0.89 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 0.84 created, 2.78 conceded against Swansea City
D 0.93 created, 0.30 conceded against Hull City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Southampton: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Watford 2:2 Southampton 30/08/2025 xG 0.55 – 1.81

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.