xgEdge

Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Stoke City 0:2 Southampton

Stoke City Home 0.89 xG · 10 shots
Southampton Away 1.59 xG · 11 shots
02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 10' Finn Azaz Southampton · 0.83 xG chance 0–1
  2. 53' Flynn Downes Southampton · 0.33 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Stoke City Southampton
Shots
10
11
On target
3
4
Inside the box
7
8
xG per shot
0.09
0.15
Open play xG
0.46
1.20
Set-piece xG
0.40
0.41
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.86 for Stoke City and 1.59 for Southampton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Southampton · Finn Azaz · 10' · Goal · 4 m · 0.83 xG Southampton · Flynn Downes · 53' · Goal · 2 m · 0.33 xG Stoke City · Jun-Ho Bae · 45' · No goal · 14 m · 0.32 xG Stoke City · Lamine Cissé · 18' · No goal · 5 m · 0.17 xG Stoke City · Ashley Phillips · 87' · No goal · 5 m · 0.17 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 24' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG Southampton · Ross Stewart · 41' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG Stoke City · Jun-Ho Bae · 20' · No goal · 22 m · 0.07 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 6' · No goal · 13 m · 0.06 xG Southampton · Jack Stephens · 52' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 28' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Stoke City · Bosun Lawal · 3' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Tom Fellows · 56' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Favour Fawunmi · 86' · No goal · 5 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Jun-Ho Bae · 12' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Tom Fellows · 23' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Flynn Downes · 57' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 24' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Ashley Phillips · 72' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Tatsuki Seko · 82' · No goal · 23 m · 0.01 xG Stoke City · Ashley Phillips · 34' · No goal · 11 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

21 shots · 2.47 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Stoke City
  • Southampton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Stoke City

1.04 xG created 1.29 xGA

  • L 0.59 created, 2.50 conceded against Sheffield United
  • W 1.65 created, 1.31 conceded against Hull City
  • W 2.06 created, 0.54 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 0.81 created, 0.29 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • L 0.81 created, 1.22 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 0.33 created, 1.87 conceded against Birmingham City
Southampton

1.38 xG created 1.48 xGA

  • D 1.36 created, 1.70 conceded against Birmingham City
  • D 0.96 created, 1.49 conceded against Millwall
  • L 1.12 created, 2.27 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 2.93 created, 0.62 conceded against Hull City
  • W 0.82 created, 1.13 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 1.11 created, 1.66 conceded against Portsmouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stoke City: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.