Middlesbrough 4:0 Preston North End: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Middlesbrough Home 2.83 xG · 16 shots

Preston North End Away 0.40 xG · 4 shots

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

9' Alan Browne Middlesbrough · 0.61 xG chance 1–0
28' Tommy Conway Middlesbrough · 0.31 xG chance 2–0
42' Morgan Whittaker Middlesbrough · 0.13 xG chance 3–0
54' Tommy Conway Middlesbrough · 0.70 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

Middlesbrough Preston North End

Shots: 16; 4
On target: 8; 1
Inside the box: 8; 4
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.98; 0.00
Set-piece xG: 0.96; 0.42
Penalties: —; —

Middlesbrough's shots add up to 2.94 xG and Preston North End's to 0.42; the published figures are 2.83 and 0.40.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 3.36 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Middlesbrough
Preston North End
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Middlesbrough

1.33 xG created 0.96 xGA

D 0.75 created, 1.23 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 1.47 created, 0.29 conceded against Hull City
L 1.32 created, 1.22 conceded against Derby County
W 2.27 created, 1.12 conceded against Southampton
W 0.93 created, 1.06 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 1.22 created, 0.81 conceded against Stoke City

Preston North End

1.09 xG created 1.28 xGA

D 0.59 created, 1.06 conceded against Stoke City
L 1.07 created, 2.53 conceded against Wrexham
W 1.91 created, 0.21 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
W 1.08 created, 0.42 conceded against Bristol City
L 0.99 created, 1.76 conceded against Derby County
L 0.90 created, 1.67 conceded against Hull City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Middlesbrough: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Preston North End 2:2 Middlesbrough 13/09/2025 xG 0.75 – 1.52

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.