Thursday, 01/01/2026 at 16:00
Full timeDerby County 1:0 Middlesbrough
Goals
- 70' Bobby Clark Derby County · 0.59 xG chance 1–0
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 7
- 19
- On target
- 3
- 5
- Inside the box
- 4
- 10
- xG per shot
- 0.18
- 0.07
- Open play xG
- 1.15
- 1.11
- Set-piece xG
- 0.11
- 0.23
- Penalties
- —
- —
Derby County's shots add up to 1.26 xG and Middlesbrough's to 1.33; the published figures are 1.22 and 1.32.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
26 shots · 2.59 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Derby County
- Middlesbrough
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.09 xG created 1.02 xGA
- L 1.43 created, 1.20 conceded against Leicester City
- D 1.20 created, 0.91 conceded against Millwall
- W 1.64 created, 0.18 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
- D 0.79 created, 0.15 conceded against Portsmouth
- D 0.79 created, 2.98 conceded against Birmingham City
- L 0.69 created, 0.68 conceded against Leicester City
1.45 xG created 0.84 xGA
- W 1.29 created, 1.04 conceded against Hull City
- W 0.72 created, 0.26 conceded against Charlton Athletic
- W 2.29 created, 1.30 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- L 2.18 created, 0.90 conceded against Bristol City
- D 0.75 created, 1.23 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
- L 1.47 created, 0.29 conceded against Hull City
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.