What Middlesbrough have left to play in Championship 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
7 matches ahead in Championship
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 7 matches ahead of Middlesbrough in Championship rates 2.0 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Favourable. 6 of them rate easier than balanced, and nothing in the run rates harder. The model expects 1.82 projected xG a match from them and 13.4 of the 21 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Southampton away, banded 3 of 5 — Balanced, against an attack rated 70/99 and a defence rated 48/99.
The run at a glance
Charlton Athletic home Sat 31/10
Projected xG 2.23 – 0.81 Middlesbrough win 70%
Southampton away Fri 27/11
Projected xG 1.67 – 1.34 Middlesbrough win 44%
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Open the match page for Bolton Wanderers
Fri 23/10 Away Bolton Wanderers Championship
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 1.71 – 1.15 Projected xPts 1.76- Bolton Wanderers
- 23%
- Draw
- 28%
- Middlesbrough
- 49%
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Open the match page for Charlton Athletic
Sat 31/10 Home Charlton Athletic Championship
1 Very favourable Opponent: attack 30/99, defence 28/99Projected xG 2.23 – 0.81 Projected xPts 2.31- Middlesbrough
- 70%
- Draw
- 21%
- Charlton Athletic
- 9%
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Open the match page for Wrexham
Wed 04/11 Away Wrexham Championship
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 67/99Projected xG 1.47 – 0.99 Projected xPts 1.71- Wrexham
- 23%
- Draw
- 31%
- Middlesbrough
- 47%
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Open the match page for Watford
Sat 07/11 Away Watford Championship
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 22/99Projected xG 1.96 – 1.03 Projected xPts 2.01- Watford
- 16%
- Draw
- 25%
- Middlesbrough
- 59%
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Open the match page for Bristol City
Sat 21/11 Home Bristol City Championship
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 38/99, defence 52/99Projected xG 1.94 – 0.88 Projected xPts 2.11- Middlesbrough
- 62%
- Draw
- 25%
- Bristol City
- 13%
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Open the match page for Swansea City
Tue 24/11 Home Swansea City Championship
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 69/99Projected xG 1.73 – 0.97 Projected xPts 1.91- Middlesbrough
- 54%
- Draw
- 28%
- Swansea City
- 18%
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Open the match page for Southampton
Fri 27/11 Away Southampton Championship
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 70/99, defence 48/99Projected xG 1.67 – 1.34 Projected xPts 1.59- Southampton
- 28%
- Draw
- 28%
- Middlesbrough
- 44%
Championship publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Championship.
Fixture difficulty in Championship
Reads each matchup for Middlesbrough: the band is cut from the model's chances of Middlesbrough winning and losing the match, so Middlesbrough's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
number 22 hardest of 24 in Championship
−0.20 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Championship's average club, with no venue and nothing of Middlesbrough's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
−0.20 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 22 hardest of 24
- Bolton Wanderers Away −0.05
- Charlton Athletic Home −0.40
- Wrexham Away −0.05
- Watford Away −0.39
- Bristol City Home −0.11
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Championship and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.