xgEdge

Wednesday, 01/10/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Millwall 0:4 Coventry City

Millwall Home 1.33 xG · 13 shots
Coventry City Away 3.60 xG · 13 shots
04 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 29' Haji Wright Coventry City · 0.92 xG chance 0–1
  2. 66' Haji Wright Coventry City · 0.34 xG chance 0–2
  3. 81' Ellis Simms Coventry City · 0.94 xG chance 0–3
  4. 87' Kaine Kesler-Hayden Coventry City · 0.33 xG chance 0–4

The shots behind it

Millwall Coventry City
Shots
13
13
On target
3
5
Inside the box
7
11
xG per shot
0.10
0.27
Open play xG
1.18
2.27
Set-piece xG
0.12
1.26
Penalties
—
—

Millwall's shots add up to 1.31 xG and Coventry City's to 3.53; the published figures are 1.33 and 3.60.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Coventry City · Ellis Simms · 81' · Goal · 1 m · 0.94 xG Coventry City · Haji Wright · 29' · Goal · 3 m · 0.92 xG Millwall · Mihailo Ivanović · 86' · No goal · 4 m · 0.43 xG Coventry City · Haji Wright · 66' · Goal · 8 m · 0.34 xG Coventry City · Kaine Kesler-Hayden · 87' · Goal · 11 m · 0.33 xG Coventry City · Brandon Thomas-Asante · 29' · No goal · 4 m · 0.25 xG Coventry City · Victor Torp · 19' · No goal · 7 m · 0.20 xG Millwall · Will Smallbone · 86' · No goal · 8 m · 0.20 xG Millwall · Mihailo Ivanović · 90' · No goal · 6 m · 0.18 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 36' · No goal · 10 m · 0.13 xG Coventry City · Victor Torp · 19' · No goal · 14 m · 0.12 xG Coventry City · Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · 64' · No goal · 4 m · 0.11 xG Coventry City · Ellis Simms · 81' · No goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Coventry City · Brandon Thomas-Asante · 39' · No goal · 14 m · 0.10 xG Millwall · Femi Azeez · 69' · No goal · 18 m · 0.09 xG Millwall · Macaulay Langstaff · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.07 xG Millwall · Mihailo Ivanović · 71' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG Millwall · Aidomo Emakhu · 20' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 85' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Coventry City · Victor Torp · 26' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Coventry City · Bobby Thomas · 81' · No goal · 1 m · 0.04 xG Coventry City · Jay DaSilva · 65' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 51' · No goal · 7 m · 0.02 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 75' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Millwall · Aidomo Emakhu · 61' · No goal · 24 m · 0.01 xG Millwall · Derek Mazou-Sacko · 63' · No goal · 24 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

26 shots · 4.83 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Millwall
  • Coventry City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Millwall

1.06 xG created 0.94 xGA

  • L 0.60 created, 0.99 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • W 1.40 created, 1.30 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 1.76 created, 0.55 conceded against Wrexham
  • D 1.03 created, 0.73 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • W 0.70 created, 0.73 conceded against Watford
  • D 0.88 created, 1.34 conceded against Swansea City
Coventry City

2.08 xG created 0.79 xGA

  • W 3.26 created, 1.48 conceded against Derby County
  • W 1.27 created, 0.61 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • D 1.74 created, 1.04 conceded against Oxford United
  • D 3.68 created, 0.18 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 0.41 created, 1.22 conceded against Leicester City
  • W 2.13 created, 0.19 conceded against Birmingham City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.