xgEdge

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Swansea City 1:1 Millwall

Swansea City Home 1.34 xG · 13 shots
Millwall Away 0.88 xG · 11 shots
11 Swansea City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 12' Žan Vipotnik Swansea City · 0.49 xG chance 1–0
  2. 45' Josh Coburn Millwall · 0.61 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Swansea City Millwall
Shots
13
11
On target
2
4
Inside the box
9
9
xG per shot
0.10
0.12
Open play xG
1.03
0.55
Set-piece xG
0.32
0.74
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.34 for Swansea City and 1.25 for Millwall.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Millwall · Josh Coburn · 45' · Goal · 2 m · 0.61 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 12' · Goal · 6 m · 0.49 xG Swansea City · Adam Idah · 82' · No goal · 7 m · 0.18 xG Swansea City · Adam Idah · 90' · No goal · 7 m · 0.15 xG Millwall · Macaulay Langstaff · 74' · No goal · 15 m · 0.14 xG Swansea City · Ronald · 12' · No goal · 12 m · 0.10 xG Millwall · Macaulay Langstaff · 90' · No goal · 16 m · 0.09 xG Millwall · Aidomo Emakhu · 77' · No goal · 11 m · 0.09 xG Swansea City · Zeidane Inoussa · 19' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Swansea City · Ronald · 69' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG Millwall · Will Smallbone · 28' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Millwall · Tristan Crama · 72' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG Millwall · Will Smallbone · 14' · No goal · 17 m · 0.07 xG Swansea City · Marko Stamenić · 28' · No goal · 6 m · 0.06 xG Millwall · Tristan Crama · 37' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 2' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 87' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Swansea City · Benson Manuel · 79' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Joe Bryan · 45' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Thierno Ballo · 31' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Benson Manuel · 90' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 18' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Millwall · Billy Mitchell · 90' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Cameron Burgess · 34' · No goal · 8 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

24 shots · 2.64 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Swansea City
  • Millwall
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Swansea City

0.94 xG created 0.94 xGA

  • L 0.10 created, 0.35 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • W 1.13 created, 0.40 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 0.68 created, 0.41 conceded against Watford
  • W 1.31 created, 0.45 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 1.00 created, 1.61 conceded against Hull City
  • L 1.43 created, 2.41 conceded against Birmingham City
Millwall

1.26 xG created 0.89 xGA

  • W 2.09 created, 1.04 conceded against Norwich City
  • L 0.60 created, 0.99 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • W 1.40 created, 1.30 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 1.76 created, 0.55 conceded against Wrexham
  • D 1.03 created, 0.73 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • W 0.70 created, 0.73 conceded against Watford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.