Millwall 1:0 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Monday, 22/09/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Millwall Home 0.70 xG · 9 shots

Watford Away 0.73 xG · 11 shots

10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

10' Camiel Neghli Millwall · 0.09 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Millwall Watford

Shots: 9; 11
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 5; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.38; 0.58
Set-piece xG: 0.36; 0.34
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.73 for Millwall and 0.92 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 1.65 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Millwall
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Millwall

1.38 xG created 0.92 xGA

W 2.09 created, 1.04 conceded against Norwich City
L 0.60 created, 0.99 conceded against Middlesbrough
W 1.40 created, 1.30 conceded against Sheffield United
L 1.76 created, 0.55 conceded against Wrexham
D 1.03 created, 0.73 conceded against Charlton Athletic

Watford

0.90 xG created 1.12 xGA

L 0.72 created, 1.16 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 2.06 created, 0.50 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
D 0.41 created, 0.68 conceded against Swansea City
D 0.55 created, 1.81 conceded against Southampton
L 0.75 created, 1.45 conceded against Blackburn Rovers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.