Millwall 1:2 Norwich City: xG & match report · Championship

Monday, 06/04/2026 at 14:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Millwall Home 0.92 xG · 10 shots

Norwich City Away 2.19 xG · 12 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

56' Mihailo Ivanović Millwall · 0.32 xG chance 1–0
62' Pelle Mattsson Norwich City · 0.09 xG chance 1–1
76' Oscar Schwartau Norwich City · 0.72 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Millwall Norwich City

Shots: 10; 12
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 8; 10
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.18
Open play xG: 0.69; 2.10
Set-piece xG: 0.24; 0.02
Penalties: —; —

Millwall's shots add up to 0.94 xG and Norwich City's to 2.12; the published figures are 0.92 and 2.19.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 3.05 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Millwall
Norwich City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Millwall

1.39 xG created 1.81 xGA

W 1.66 created, 0.43 conceded against Preston North End
W 1.38 created, 2.51 conceded against Hull City
W 1.45 created, 1.25 conceded against Derby County
L 1.38 created, 2.18 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
D 1.67 created, 1.38 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 0.79 created, 3.12 conceded against Middlesbrough

Norwich City

1.21 xG created 1.03 xGA

W 1.54 created, 0.46 conceded against Leicester City
W 1.82 created, 0.74 conceded against Sheffield United
W 0.88 created, 2.52 conceded against Preston North End
L 1.11 created, 0.58 conceded against Southampton
W 1.44 created, 1.36 conceded against Charlton Athletic
D 0.44 created, 0.50 conceded against Portsmouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Millwall: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Norwich City 1:2 Millwall 09/08/2025 xG 1.04 – 2.09

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.