Hull City 1:3 Millwall: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 07/03/2026 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Hull City Home 2.51 xG · 23 shots

Millwall Away 1.38 xG · 9 shots

13 The result went against the chances

Goals

14' Jake Cooper Millwall · 0.18 xG chance 0–1
18' Joe Gelhardt Hull City · 0.47 xG chance 1–1
70' Mihailo Ivanović Millwall · 0.81 xG chance 1–2
78' Josh Coburn Millwall · 0.08 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Hull City Millwall

Shots: 23; 9
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 20; 4
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.15
Open play xG: 2.06; 1.04
Set-piece xG: 0.44; 0.29
Penalties: —; —

Hull City's shots add up to 2.50 xG and Millwall's to 1.33; the published figures are 2.51 and 1.38.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 3.82 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Hull City
Millwall
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Hull City

0.83 xG created 1.72 xGA

D 0.30 created, 0.93 conceded against Watford
L 1.39 created, 1.94 conceded against Bristol City
L 2.11 created, 1.64 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 0.58 created, 3.27 conceded against Derby County
W 0.34 created, 1.02 conceded against Portsmouth
L 0.27 created, 1.54 conceded against Ipswich Town

Millwall

1.20 xG created 0.91 xGA

D 1.38 created, 1.22 conceded against Sheffield United
W 0.58 created, 1.53 conceded against Wrexham
W 1.92 created, 0.92 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 0.42 created, 1.22 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.21 created, 0.12 conceded against Birmingham City
W 1.66 created, 0.43 conceded against Preston North End

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Hull City: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Millwall 1:3 Hull City 13/12/2025 xG 0.82 – 2.03

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.