Friday, 03/04/2026 at 13:30
Full timeMiddlesbrough 1:2 Millwall
Goals
- 26' Dael Fry Middlesbrough · 0.40 xG chance 1–0
- 58' Josh Coburn Millwall · 0.20 xG chance 1–1
- 86' Josh Coburn Millwall · 0.05 xG chance 1–2
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 32
- 11
- On target
- 5
- 5
- Inside the box
- 27
- 7
- xG per shot
- 0.10
- 0.07
- Open play xG
- 1.45
- 0.40
- Set-piece xG
- 1.68
- 0.37
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.78 for Millwall.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
43 shots · 3.89 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Middlesbrough
- Millwall
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.96 xG created 0.58 xGA
- D 1.19 created, 0.89 conceded against Leicester City
- W 1.07 created, 0.61 conceded against Birmingham City
- W 3.68 created, 0.63 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
- L 1.81 created, 0.73 conceded against Charlton Athletic
- D 2.50 created, 0.32 conceded against Bristol City
- D 1.50 created, 0.32 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
1.46 xG created 1.31 xGA
- W 1.21 created, 0.12 conceded against Birmingham City
- W 1.66 created, 0.43 conceded against Preston North End
- W 1.38 created, 2.51 conceded against Hull City
- W 1.45 created, 1.25 conceded against Derby County
- L 1.38 created, 2.18 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
- D 1.67 created, 1.38 conceded against Ipswich Town
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.