Watford 2:2 Southampton: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 30/08/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Watford Home 0.55 xG · 10 shots

Southampton Away 1.81 xG · 12 shots

22 Southampton had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

10' Cameron Archer Southampton · 0.49 xG chance 0–1
65' Kwadwo Baah Watford · 0.14 xG chance 1–1
78' Ryan Manning Southampton · 0.14 xG chance 1–2
81' Nestory Irankunda Watford · 0.03 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Watford Southampton

Shots: 10; 12
On target: 4; 7
Inside the box: 5; 8
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.15
Open play xG: 0.43; 0.70
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 1.12
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.55 for Watford and 1.81 for Southampton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 2.36 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Watford
Southampton
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Watford

1.06 xG created 0.78 xGA

L 0.72 created, 1.16 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 2.06 created, 0.50 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
D 0.41 created, 0.68 conceded against Swansea City

Southampton

2.49 xG created 1.67 xGA

W 4.14 created, 1.88 conceded against Wrexham
D 0.75 created, 1.64 conceded against Ipswich Town
L 2.59 created, 1.50 conceded against Stoke City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.