Preston North End 2:1 Blackburn Rovers: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 05/09/2026 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Preston North End Home 2.19 xG · 8 shots

Blackburn Rovers Away 1.09 xG · 13 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

9' Callum Lang Preston North End · 0.61 xG chance 1–0
27' Callum Lang Preston North End · 0.36 xG chance 2–0
51' Stanley Mills (o.g.) Blackburn Rovers 2–1

The shots behind it

Preston North End Blackburn Rovers

Shots: 8; 13
On target: 3; 6
Inside the box: 5; 7
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.02; 0.51
Set-piece xG: 0.53; 0.23
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.54 for Preston North End and 0.73 for Blackburn Rovers.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 2.28 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Preston North End
Blackburn Rovers
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Preston North End

1.65 xG created 1.77 xGA

W 2.98 created, 3.05 conceded against Sheffield United
L 1.91 created, 2.41 conceded against Southampton
L 1.12 created, 1.10 conceded against Bolton Wanderers
L 0.66 created, 1.54 conceded against Wolverhampton
L 1.32 created, 0.74 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 1.91 created, 1.78 conceded against Bristol City

Blackburn Rovers

0.98 xG created 1.71 xGA

W 1.58 created, 1.51 conceded against Sheffield United
L 1.40 created, 2.52 conceded against Leicester City
D 0.84 created, 1.97 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 0.91 created, 1.43 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 0.92 created, 1.34 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
D 0.24 created, 1.46 conceded against Lincoln City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Preston North End: 0 won · 0 drawn · 2 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.