xgEdge

Tuesday, 01/09/2026 at 20:45

Full time
Match report · Championship

Preston North End 1:3 Bristol City

Preston North End Home 1.91 xG · 18 shots
Bristol City Away 1.78 xG · 12 shots
13 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 4' Scott Twine Bristol City · 0.45 xG chance 0–1
  2. 51' Caleb Wiley Preston North End · 0.03 xG chance 1–1
  3. 79' Lisav Naif Eissat Bristol City · 0.03 xG chance 1–2
  4. 86' Dominic Ballard Bristol City · 0.74 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Preston North End Bristol City
Shots
18
12
On target
4
7
Inside the box
9
9
xG per shot
0.10
0.16
Open play xG
1.35
1.87
Set-piece xG
0.45
0.06
Penalties
—
—

Preston North End's shots add up to 1.80 xG and Bristol City's to 1.93; the published figures are 1.91 and 1.78.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Bristol City · Dominic Ballard · 86' · Goal · 9 m · 0.74 xG Preston North End · Jusef Erabi · 8' · No goal · 5 m · 0.61 xG Bristol City · Scott Twine · 4' · Goal · 5 m · 0.45 xG Bristol City · Lorent Tolaj · 70' · No goal · 13 m · 0.42 xG Preston North End · Harry Clarke · 50' · No goal · 4 m · 0.21 xG Preston North End · Jusef Erabi · 39' · No goal · 9 m · 0.17 xG Preston North End · Caleb Wiley · 23' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Preston North End · Jordan Thompson · 21' · No goal · 24 m · 0.12 xG Preston North End · Leo Leroy · 54' · No goal · 19 m · 0.12 xG Bristol City · Lorent Tolaj · 4' · No goal · 11 m · 0.07 xG Preston North End · Delano Burgzorg · 57' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 39' · No goal · 21 m · 0.06 xG Preston North End · Jusef Erabi · 42' · No goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG Preston North End · Callum Lang · 76' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Preston North End · Leo Leroy · 45' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Sam Greenwood · 25' · No goal · 22 m · 0.05 xG Preston North End · Leo Leroy · 67' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Bristol City · Lorent Tolaj · 64' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Gibson Yah · 90' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Bristol City · Sam Greenwood · 39' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Preston North End · Jusef Erabi · 53' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Lisav Naif Eissat · 79' · Goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Rob Dickie · 37' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Preston North End · Caleb Wiley · 51' · Goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Bristol City · Jason Knight · 54' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Preston North End · Leo Leroy · 30' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Preston North End · Stanley Mills · 33' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Preston North End · Jordan Thompson · 35' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG Bristol City · Lorent Tolaj · 19' · No goal · 4 m · 0.01 xG Preston North End · Leo Leroy · 8' · No goal · 23 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

30 shots · 3.72 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Preston North End
  • Bristol City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Preston North End

1.73 xG created 1.80 xGA

  • L 2.37 created, 1.95 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 2.98 created, 3.05 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 1.91 created, 2.41 conceded against Southampton
  • L 1.12 created, 1.10 conceded against Bolton Wanderers
  • L 0.66 created, 1.54 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • L 1.32 created, 0.74 conceded against Charlton Athletic
Bristol City

1.10 xG created 1.98 xGA

  • D 0.94 created, 2.33 conceded against Southampton
  • L 1.13 created, 1.76 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 1.98 created, 1.03 conceded against Stoke City
  • L 0.52 created, 3.40 conceded against Millwall
  • D 1.43 created, 1.98 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 0.61 created, 1.37 conceded against Portsmouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.