Preston North End 1:2 Blackburn Rovers: xG & match report · Championship

Friday, 21/11/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Preston North End Home 1.70 xG · 15 shots

Blackburn Rovers Away 1.23 xG · 12 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

45' Alfie Devine Preston North End · 0.31 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
45' Lewis Miller Blackburn Rovers · 0.21 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
62' Andri Guðjohnsen Blackburn Rovers · 0.15 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Preston North End Blackburn Rovers

Shots: 15; 12
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 12; 8
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.83; 0.81
Set-piece xG: 0.97; 0.45
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.79 for Preston North End and 1.23 for Blackburn Rovers.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 3.06 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Preston North End
Blackburn Rovers
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Preston North End

1.33 xG created 1.26 xGA

L 1.39 created, 1.30 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 1.38 created, 0.83 conceded against Birmingham City
W 1.57 created, 2.37 conceded against Sheffield United
W 2.24 created, 0.53 conceded against Southampton
W 0.71 created, 0.69 conceded against Swansea City
D 0.68 created, 1.82 conceded against Millwall

Blackburn Rovers

1.64 xG created 1.09 xGA

L 1.14 created, 0.88 conceded against Coventry City
L 0.82 created, 1.28 conceded against Sheffield United
W 3.20 created, 1.67 conceded against Southampton
W 1.91 created, 1.23 conceded against Leicester City
W 1.66 created, 0.52 conceded against Bristol City
L 1.09 created, 0.95 conceded against Derby County

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.