Watford 1:1 Portsmouth: xG & match report · Championship

Wednesday, 21/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Watford Home 0.80 xG · 15 shots

Portsmouth Away 0.62 xG · 9 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

73' Adrian Segečić Portsmouth · 0.17 xG chance 0–1
79' Mamadou Doumbia Watford · 0.09 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Watford Portsmouth

Shots: 15; 9
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 6; 4
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.58; 0.39
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.22
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.80 for Watford and 0.62 for Portsmouth.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 1.43 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Watford
Portsmouth
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Watford

0.99 xG created 0.85 xGA

D 0.83 created, 1.20 conceded against Wrexham
W 1.22 created, 0.52 conceded against Stoke City
W 1.40 created, 0.43 conceded against Leicester City
W 0.36 created, 0.95 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.56 created, 0.40 conceded against Birmingham City
L 0.54 created, 1.57 conceded against Millwall

Portsmouth

0.88 xG created 0.81 xGA

W 1.77 created, 0.72 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
D 0.15 created, 0.79 conceded against Derby County
D 0.53 created, 0.47 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 0.74 created, 1.01 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 0.42 created, 1.51 conceded against Bristol City
W 1.65 created, 0.33 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Watford: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Portsmouth 2:2 Watford 01/10/2025 xG 1.10 – 1.94

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.