Ipswich Town 1:1 Preston North End: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Ipswich Town Home 2.23 xG · 16 shots

Preston North End Away 1.06 xG · 11 shots

11 Ipswich Town had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

72' Lewis Gibson Preston North End · 0.13 xG chance 0–1
90' Jack Clarke (pen.) Ipswich Town · 0.82 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Ipswich Town Preston North End

Shots: 16; 11
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 16; 8
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.79; 0.68
Set-piece xG: 0.67; 0.38
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.49 for Ipswich Town and 1.06 for Preston North End.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 3.33 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Ipswich Town
Preston North End
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Ipswich Town

1.55 xG created 0.87 xGA

D 0.81 created, 0.36 conceded against Millwall
W 1.14 created, 0.80 conceded against Coventry City
W 1.43 created, 1.08 conceded against Oxford United
W 2.86 created, 0.66 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
W 1.08 created, 0.67 conceded against Bristol City
L 1.98 created, 1.63 conceded against Sheffield United

Preston North End

1.06 xG created 1.57 xGA

L 1.07 created, 2.53 conceded against Wrexham
W 1.91 created, 0.21 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
W 1.08 created, 0.42 conceded against Bristol City
L 0.99 created, 1.76 conceded against Derby County
L 0.90 created, 1.67 conceded against Hull City
L 0.40 created, 2.83 conceded against Middlesbrough

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Ipswich Town: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Preston North End 1:0 Ipswich Town 23/08/2025 xG 0.84 – 1.39

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.