xgEdge

Saturday, 27/09/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Stoke City 1:1 Norwich City

Stoke City Home 1.85 xG · 23 shots
Norwich City Away 1.32 xG · 6 shots
11 Stoke City had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 26' Jovon Makama Norwich City · 0.91 xG chance 0–1
  2. 48' Sorba Thomas Stoke City · 0.29 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Stoke City Norwich City
Shots
23
6
On target
6
3
Inside the box
14
6
xG per shot
0.08
0.24
Open play xG
0.88
1.44
Set-piece xG
1.04
0.00
Penalties
—
—

Stoke City's shots add up to 1.92 xG and Norwich City's to 1.44; the published figures are 1.85 and 1.32.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Norwich City · Jovon Makama · 26' · Goal · 3 m · 0.91 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 81' · No goal · 8 m · 0.35 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 48' · Goal · 6 m · 0.29 xG Stoke City · Jun-Ho Bae · 20' · No goal · 15 m · 0.22 xG Stoke City · Jun-Ho Bae · 63' · No goal · 3 m · 0.22 xG Stoke City · Bosun Lawal · 85' · No goal · 6 m · 0.19 xG Stoke City · Lamine Cissé · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 89' · No goal · 7 m · 0.11 xG Stoke City · Jun-Ho Bae · 63' · No goal · 1 m · 0.10 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 47' · No goal · 20 m · 0.09 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 70' · No goal · 19 m · 0.09 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 36' · No goal · 16 m · 0.09 xG Stoke City · Jun-Ho Bae · 23' · No goal · 18 m · 0.09 xG Stoke City · Bosun Lawal · 62' · No goal · 4 m · 0.07 xG Stoke City · Aaron Cresswell · 75' · No goal · 24 m · 0.06 xG Norwich City · Josh Sargent · 18' · No goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG Stoke City · Tatsuki Seko · 85' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Stoke City · Tomáš Rigo · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 48' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 25' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Norwich City · Oscar Schwartau · 36' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Ben Wilmot · 4' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 63' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Norwich City · Liam Gibbs · 58' · No goal · 8 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 82' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Tomáš Rigo · 67' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 13' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Ben Wilmot · 30' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Stoke City · Aaron Cresswell · 84' · No goal · 14 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

29 shots · 3.36 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Stoke City
  • Norwich City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Stoke City

1.20 xG created 1.17 xGA

  • W 1.09 created, 0.39 conceded against Derby County
  • W 2.06 created, 1.50 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • W 1.50 created, 2.59 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.95 created, 0.66 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 0.49 created, 0.52 conceded against Birmingham City
  • L 1.09 created, 1.33 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
Norwich City

1.46 xG created 2.04 xGA

  • L 1.04 created, 2.09 conceded against Millwall
  • W 1.96 created, 1.76 conceded against Portsmouth
  • L 1.18 created, 1.51 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • W 2.09 created, 1.92 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 0.18 created, 3.68 conceded against Coventry City
  • L 2.34 created, 1.30 conceded against Wrexham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.