Swansea City 3:1 Burnley: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 12/09/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Swansea City Home 2.63 xG · 14 shots

Burnley Away 1.73 xG · 18 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

14' Adam Idah Swansea City · 0.76 xG chance 1–0
33' Moussa Kounfolo Yeo Swansea City · 0.19 xG chance 2–0
58' Largie Ramazani Burnley · 0.29 xG chance 2–1
68' Žan Vipotnik Swansea City · 0.82 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Swansea City Burnley

Shots: 14; 18
On target: 6; 6
Inside the box: 9; 11
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.10
Open play xG: 2.30; 1.59
Set-piece xG: 0.07; 0.15
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.39 for Swansea City and 1.79 for Burnley.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 4.12 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Swansea City
Burnley
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Swansea City

1.48 xG created 0.97 xGA

W 0.62 created, 0.65 conceded against Stoke City
D 0.57 created, 1.46 conceded against Sheffield United
W 3.00 created, 0.70 conceded against Derby County
W 2.71 created, 0.88 conceded against Watford
D 0.74 created, 0.67 conceded against Wrexham
L 1.22 created, 1.44 conceded against Southampton

Burnley

1.22 xG created 1.48 xGA

D 2.33 created, 1.33 conceded against West Ham United
L 1.18 created, 1.63 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 1.38 created, 2.30 conceded against Norwich City
D 0.64 created, 1.22 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 0.26 created, 1.06 conceded against Bristol City
D 1.50 created, 1.35 conceded against Wrexham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.