Burnley 1:2 Bristol City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 05/09/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Burnley Home 0.26 xG · 8 shots

Bristol City Away 1.06 xG · 14 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

56' Aaron Ramsey Burnley · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
82' Rob Dickie Bristol City · 0.02 xG chance 1–1
90' Yu Hirakawa Bristol City · 0.02 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Burnley Bristol City

Shots: 8; 14
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 4; 10
xG per shot: 0.02; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.16; 0.51
Set-piece xG: 0.04; 0.39
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.20 for Burnley and 0.89 for Bristol City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

22 shots · 1.09 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Burnley
Bristol City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Burnley

1.38 xG created 1.62 xGA

D 2.33 created, 1.33 conceded against West Ham United
L 1.18 created, 1.63 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 1.38 created, 2.30 conceded against Norwich City
D 0.64 created, 1.22 conceded against Middlesbrough

Bristol City

1.24 xG created 1.91 xGA

L 1.13 created, 1.76 conceded against Birmingham City
W 1.98 created, 1.03 conceded against Stoke City
L 0.52 created, 3.40 conceded against Millwall
D 1.43 created, 1.98 conceded against Birmingham City
W 0.61 created, 1.37 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.78 created, 1.91 conceded against Preston North End

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.