Swansea City 2:0 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 01/09/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Swansea City Home 2.71 xG · 18 shots

Watford Away 0.88 xG · 9 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

8' Ji-sung Eom Swansea City · 0.69 xG chance 1–0
29' Adam Idah Swansea City · 0.44 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Swansea City Watford

Shots: 18; 9
On target: 8; 3
Inside the box: 10; 8
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.62; 0.75
Set-piece xG: 1.67; 0.05
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.24 for Swansea City and 0.82 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 4.09 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Swansea City
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Swansea City

1.51 xG created 1.19 xGA

W 2.49 created, 1.64 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
D 1.20 created, 1.71 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.16 created, 0.96 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 0.62 created, 0.65 conceded against Stoke City
D 0.57 created, 1.46 conceded against Sheffield United
W 3.00 created, 0.70 conceded against Derby County

Watford

1.05 xG created 1.60 xGA

L 0.67 created, 1.40 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 0.85 created, 2.30 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 1.70 created, 1.39 conceded against Coventry City
W 0.81 created, 1.71 conceded against Southampton
D 0.65 created, 1.92 conceded against Wrexham
D 1.60 created, 0.89 conceded against West Ham United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Swansea City: 1 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.