xgEdge

Saturday, 08/11/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Swansea City 1:4 Ipswich Town

Swansea City Home 0.43 xG · 9 shots
Ipswich Town Away 1.37 xG · 13 shots
14 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 36' Jack Clarke Ipswich Town · 0.03 xG chance 0–1
  2. 50' Gonçalo Franco Swansea City · 0.16 xG chance 1–1
  3. 55' Cameron Burgess (o.g.) Ipswich Town 1–2
  4. 76' Ivan Azón Ipswich Town · 0.70 xG chance 1–3
  5. 81' Cameron Burgess (o.g.) Ipswich Town 1–4

The shots behind it

Swansea City Ipswich Town
Shots
9
13
On target
4
6
Inside the box
4
7
xG per shot
0.05
0.10
Open play xG
0.36
0.39
Set-piece xG
0.10
0.96
Penalties
—
—

Swansea City's shots add up to 0.47 xG and Ipswich Town's to 1.35; the published figures are 0.43 and 1.37.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Ipswich Town · Ivan Azón · 76' · Goal · 1 m · 0.70 xG Ipswich Town · Kasey McAteer · 48' · No goal · 3 m · 0.19 xG Swansea City · Gonçalo Franco · 50' · Goal · 14 m · 0.16 xG Ipswich Town · George Hirst · 20' · No goal · 4 m · 0.15 xG Swansea City · Ben Cabango · 65' · No goal · 6 m · 0.10 xG Ipswich Town · Marcelino Núñez · 62' · No goal · 22 m · 0.07 xG Ipswich Town · Leif Davis · 55' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Swansea City · Ji-sung Eom · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Swansea City · Ronald · 58' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Ipswich Town · Leif Davis · 70' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Ipswich Town · George Hirst · 42' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Ipswich Town · Dara O'Shea · 76' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Jack Taylor · 9' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Gonçalo Franco · 22' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Ipswich Town · Jack Clarke · 36' · Goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Benson Manuel · 88' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Gonçalo Franco · 53' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Ji-sung Eom · 68' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 52' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG Ipswich Town · Jack Clarke · 7' · No goal · 21 m · 0.01 xG Ipswich Town · Cameron Burgess · 55' · Goal · 10 m · 0.00 xG Ipswich Town · Cameron Burgess · 81' · Goal · 7 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

22 shots · 1.82 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Swansea City
  • Ipswich Town
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Swansea City

0.71 xG created 1.60 xGA

  • L 1.84 created, 1.65 conceded against Leicester City
  • D 0.20 created, 3.10 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.40 created, 2.05 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 0.43 created, 1.17 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 0.71 created, 0.93 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 0.69 created, 0.71 conceded against Preston North End
Ipswich Town

1.79 xG created 1.01 xGA

  • W 1.80 created, 0.46 conceded against Norwich City
  • L 1.97 created, 1.86 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 2.31 created, 1.43 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • W 2.22 created, 0.39 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 1.03 created, 1.56 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • D 1.43 created, 0.35 conceded against Watford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.