Ipswich Town 1:1 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 04/11/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Ipswich Town Home 1.43 xG · 16 shots

Watford Away 0.35 xG · 4 shots

11 Ipswich Town had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

16' Imrân Louza Watford · 0.28 xG chance 0–1
21' Jaden Philogene-Bidace Ipswich Town · 0.26 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Ipswich Town Watford

Shots: 16; 4
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 10; 2
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.08
Open play xG: 1.13; 0.30
Set-piece xG: 0.28; 0.04
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.43 for Ipswich Town and 0.35 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 1.74 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Ipswich Town
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Ipswich Town

1.79 xG created 1.18 xGA

D 1.38 created, 1.38 conceded against Bristol City
W 1.80 created, 0.46 conceded against Norwich City
L 1.97 created, 1.86 conceded against Middlesbrough
L 2.31 created, 1.43 conceded against Charlton Athletic
W 2.22 created, 0.39 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 1.03 created, 1.56 conceded against Queens Park Rangers

Watford

1.74 xG created 1.22 xGA

D 1.94 created, 1.10 conceded against Portsmouth
W 2.65 created, 1.38 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.09 created, 2.11 conceded against Sheffield United
W 1.22 created, 0.63 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
L 2.61 created, 1.31 conceded against Coventry City
W 0.92 created, 0.79 conceded against Middlesbrough

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.