xgEdge

Club

Watford 2026/2027

Championship 2026/2027 →

Watford right now

Watford are having a difficult season and sit 20th in Championship. A -8.20 xG difference sits behind 11 points from 11 matches, which suggests the results reflect poor underlying performances. They have scored slightly below their 12.48 xG (−2.48), while conceding slightly fewer than the 20.68 xG against them (−1.68). Their defence rates 24th of 24 in Championship for the chances it allows an average opponent.

How Watford compares

Open the match page for Wolverhampton

Next match Championship · Sat 24/10

Away Wolverhampton

1.92 Projected expected goals 0.86
Model probability
Wolverhampton
62%
Draw
25%
Watford
13%

Data coverage: Partial

Open the match page for Charlton Athletic

Last result Championship · Sat 17/10

Home Charlton Athletic

2:0 Win

Expected goals
2.78 – 1.25
xG difference
+1.53

A win the chances back up

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
4.0 0.0 Sun 16/08 Sat 17/10 Sun 16/08 Southampton · Expected goals 0.81 Sat 22/08 Wrexham · Expected goals 0.65 Sat 29/08 West Ham United · Expected goals 1.60 Tue 01/09 Swansea City · Expected goals 0.88 Sat 05/09 West Bromwich Albion · Expected goals 1.26 Tue 08/09 Preston North End · Expected goals 1.44 Sat 12/09 Stoke City · Expected goals 0.39 Fri 18/09 Bristol City · Expected goals 0.57 Sat 10/10 Burnley · Expected goals 0.64 Tue 13/10 Cardiff City · Expected goals 1.46 Sat 17/10 Charlton Athletic · Expected goals 2.78 Sun 16/08 Southampton · Expected goals conceded 1.71 Sat 22/08 Wrexham · Expected goals conceded 1.92 Sat 29/08 West Ham United · Expected goals conceded 0.89 Tue 01/09 Swansea City · Expected goals conceded 2.71 Sat 05/09 West Bromwich Albion · Expected goals conceded 1.14 Tue 08/09 Preston North End · Expected goals conceded 2.48 Sat 12/09 Stoke City · Expected goals conceded 1.50 Fri 18/09 Bristol City · Expected goals conceded 1.47 Sat 10/10 Burnley · Expected goals conceded 1.94 Tue 13/10 Cardiff City · Expected goals conceded 3.67 Sat 17/10 Charlton Athletic · Expected goals conceded 1.25
The season so far 11 matches, as they add up -8.20 xG difference -0.75 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: Watford's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sun 16/08 Southampton Home 2:1 0.81 1.71 -0.90 2
Sat 22/08 Wrexham Away 1:1 0.65 1.92 -1.27 1
Sat 29/08 West Ham United Home 1:1 1.60 0.89 +0.71 1
Tue 01/09 Swansea City Away 0:2 0.88 2.71 -1.83 0
Sat 05/09 West Bromwich Albion Away 0:1 1.26 1.14 +0.12 0
Tue 08/09 Preston North End Home 2:1 1.44 2.48 -1.04 2
Sat 12/09 Stoke City Home 1:2 0.39 1.50 -1.11 1
Fri 18/09 Bristol City Away 0:1 0.57 1.47 -0.90 0
Sat 10/10 Burnley Home 0:4 0.64 1.94 -1.30 0
Tue 13/10 Cardiff City Away 1:5 1.46 3.67 -2.21 1
Sat 17/10 Charlton Athletic Home 2:0 2.78 1.25 +1.53 2
The season so far 12.48 20.68 10

Finishing

-2.48

Goals vs xG

Defending

-1.68

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

+1.35

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

Key players

Iker Bravo M 2.58 757 min · 1G · xG 1.56 · xA 1.02
Luca Kjerrumgaard F 2.32 454 min · 2G · xG 1.76 · xA 0.56
Jordan Zemura D 1.86 577 min · 1G · xG 0.81 · xA 1.05
Edo Kayembe M 1.65 736 min · 1G · xG 0.91 · xA 0.74
xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Championship 2026/2027 How the model works →