xgEdge

Saturday, 02/05/2026 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Watford 0:4 Coventry City

Watford Home 1.70 xG · 13 shots
Coventry City Away 1.39 xG · 18 shots
04 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 19' Ellis Simms Coventry City · 0.11 xG chance 0–1
  2. 43' Ellis Simms Coventry City · 0.02 xG chance 0–2
  3. 58' Ellis Simms Coventry City · 0.26 xG chance 0–3
  4. 85' Victor Torp Coventry City · 0.04 xG chance 0–4

The shots behind it

Watford Coventry City
Shots
13
18
On target
4
7
Inside the box
12
7
xG per shot
0.09
0.05
Open play xG
1.23
0.57
Set-piece xG
0.00
0.35
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.26 for Watford and 0.93 for Coventry City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 39' · No goal · 2 m · 0.29 xG Coventry City · Ellis Simms · 58' · Goal · 7 m · 0.26 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 42' · No goal · 4 m · 0.26 xG Watford · Edo Kayembe · 41' · No goal · 13 m · 0.17 xG Coventry City · Ellis Simms · 19' · Goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Watford · Jeremy Ngakia · 41' · No goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 66' · No goal · 12 m · 0.09 xG Coventry City · Brandon Thomas-Asante · 5' · No goal · 4 m · 0.08 xG Watford · Jeremy Ngakia · 47' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Coventry City · Ephron Mason-Clark · 81' · No goal · 6 m · 0.06 xG Watford · Othmane Maamma · 41' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Coventry City · Brandon Thomas-Asante · 16' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Coventry City · Josh Eccles · 14' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Jeremy Ngakia · 6' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 40' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Coventry City · Victor Torp · 85' · Goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Coventry City · Victor Torp · 26' · No goal · 29 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 53' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Othmane Maamma · 61' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Josh Eccles · 58' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Brandon Thomas-Asante · 67' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Romain Esse · 50' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Brandon Thomas-Asante · 32' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Jake Bidwell · 11' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Josh Eccles · 48' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Coventry City · Romain Esse · 22' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Othmane Maamma · 54' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG Coventry City · Ellis Simms · 43' · Goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 75' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Coventry City · Jake Bidwell · 88' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Coventry City · Kaine Kesler-Hayden · 40' · No goal · 10 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

31 shots · 2.15 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Watford
  • Coventry City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Watford

0.85 xG created 1.81 xGA

  • L 0.34 created, 2.40 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • D 1.13 created, 2.11 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 0.81 created, 1.86 conceded against Oxford United
  • L 1.29 created, 0.81 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 0.67 created, 1.40 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 0.85 created, 2.30 conceded against Middlesbrough
Coventry City

1.80 xG created 0.99 xGA

  • W 1.57 created, 2.27 conceded against Derby County
  • D 0.47 created, 0.77 conceded against Hull City
  • D 2.33 created, 0.65 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 1.60 created, 0.88 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • W 3.26 created, 0.10 conceded against Portsmouth
  • W 1.58 created, 1.25 conceded against Wrexham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Watford: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.