Oxford United 2:0 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 11/04/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Oxford United Home 1.86 xG · 15 shots

Watford Away 0.81 xG · 12 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

19' Myles Peart-Harris Oxford United · 0.61 xG chance 1–0
90' Mark Harris Oxford United · 0.07 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Oxford United Watford

Shots: 15; 12
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 7; 7
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.20; 0.94
Set-piece xG: 1.67; 0.02
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.88 for Oxford United and 0.96 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.82 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Oxford United
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Oxford United

1.68 xG created 1.04 xGA

W 1.74 created, 0.93 conceded against Preston North End
W 1.16 created, 0.45 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
D 1.34 created, 0.93 conceded against Charlton Athletic
L 1.07 created, 2.15 conceded against Southampton
D 3.44 created, 0.82 conceded against Hull City
D 1.35 created, 0.93 conceded against Portsmouth

Watford

1.26 xG created 1.68 xGA

D 1.96 created, 1.54 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 1.83 created, 1.53 conceded against Stoke City
W 2.03 created, 0.35 conceded against Wrexham
D 0.27 created, 2.13 conceded against Leicester City
L 0.34 created, 2.40 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
D 1.13 created, 2.11 conceded against Charlton Athletic

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Oxford United: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Watford 2:1 Oxford United 04/10/2025 xG 2.65 – 1.38

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.