Coventry City 3:1 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Coventry City Home 1.31 xG · 12 shots

Watford Away 2.61 xG · 13 shots

31 The result went against the chances

Goals

3' Brandon Thomas-Asante Coventry City · 0.25 xG chance 1–0
7' Jamie Allen Coventry City · 0.11 xG chance 2–0
42' Tatsuhiro Sakamoto Coventry City · 0.08 xG chance 3–0
69' Imrân Louza (pen.) Watford · 0.82 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Coventry City Watford

Shots: 12; 13
On target: 3; 8
Inside the box: 6; 8
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.20
Open play xG: 0.49; 1.61
Set-piece xG: 0.68; 0.23
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.19 for Coventry City and 1.82 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 3.83 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Coventry City
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Coventry City

2.42 xG created 0.95 xGA

D 0.41 created, 1.22 conceded against Leicester City
W 2.13 created, 0.19 conceded against Birmingham City
W 3.60 created, 1.33 conceded against Millwall
W 4.94 created, 1.05 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
W 0.88 created, 1.14 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
W 2.58 created, 0.76 conceded against Portsmouth

Watford

1.74 xG created 1.13 xGA

L 0.73 created, 0.70 conceded against Millwall
W 2.82 created, 0.86 conceded against Hull City
D 1.94 created, 1.10 conceded against Portsmouth
W 2.65 created, 1.38 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.09 created, 2.11 conceded against Sheffield United
W 1.22 created, 0.63 conceded against West Bromwich Albion

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.