Watford 2:1 West Bromwich Albion: xG & match report · Championship

Wednesday, 22/10/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Watford Home 1.22 xG · 18 shots

West Bromwich Albion Away 0.63 xG · 7 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

34' Isaac Price West Bromwich Albion · 0.04 xG chance 0–1
38' Imrân Louza Watford · 0.03 xG chance 1–1
58' Rocco Vata Watford · 0.12 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Watford West Bromwich Albion

Shots: 18; 7
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 6; 4
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.60; 0.43
Set-piece xG: 0.25; 0.12
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.85 for Watford and 0.56 for West Bromwich Albion.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 1.40 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Watford
West Bromwich Albion
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Watford

1.66 xG created 1.27 xGA

L 0.75 created, 1.45 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 0.73 created, 0.70 conceded against Millwall
W 2.82 created, 0.86 conceded against Hull City
D 1.94 created, 1.10 conceded against Portsmouth
W 2.65 created, 1.38 conceded against Oxford United
L 1.09 created, 2.11 conceded against Sheffield United

West Bromwich Albion

1.05 xG created 0.96 xGA

L 1.15 created, 0.32 conceded against Derby County
L 0.89 created, 0.96 conceded against Middlesbrough
D 1.64 created, 0.94 conceded against Leicester City
W 0.89 created, 1.39 conceded against Norwich City
L 0.42 created, 0.77 conceded against Millwall
W 1.30 created, 1.39 conceded against Preston North End

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.