Portsmouth 2:2 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Wednesday, 01/10/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Portsmouth Home 1.10 xG · 15 shots

Watford Away 1.94 xG · 12 shots

22 Watford had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

5' Yang Min-hyeok Portsmouth · 0.11 xG chance 1–0
46' Imrân Louza Watford · 0.52 xG chance 1–1
56' Rocco Vata Watford · 0.92 xG chance 1–2
79' Adrian Segečić Portsmouth · 0.10 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Portsmouth Watford

Shots: 15; 12
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 10; 11
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.17
Open play xG: 0.86; 1.93
Set-piece xG: 0.27; 0.10
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.12 for Portsmouth and 1.98 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 3.16 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Portsmouth
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Portsmouth

1.31 xG created 1.22 xGA

L 1.76 created, 1.96 conceded against Norwich City
D 0.94 created, 0.59 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 1.58 created, 1.01 conceded against Preston North End
D 0.94 created, 1.18 conceded against Southampton
L 1.74 created, 1.07 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 0.89 created, 1.53 conceded against Ipswich Town

Watford

1.22 xG created 1.00 xGA

W 2.06 created, 0.50 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
D 0.41 created, 0.68 conceded against Swansea City
D 0.55 created, 1.81 conceded against Southampton
L 0.75 created, 1.45 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 0.73 created, 0.70 conceded against Millwall
W 2.82 created, 0.86 conceded against Hull City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.