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Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Blackburn Rovers 2:1 Southampton

Blackburn Rovers Home 3.20 xG · 18 shots
Southampton Away 1.67 xG · 12 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 23' Leo Scienza Southampton · 0.32 xG chance 0–1
  2. 76' Ryan Alebiosu Blackburn Rovers · 0.02 xG chance 1–1
  3. 86' Andri Guðjohnsen Blackburn Rovers · 0.56 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Blackburn Rovers Southampton
Shots
18
12
On target
6
5
Inside the box
13
9
xG per shot
0.20
0.14
Open play xG
3.36
1.53
Set-piece xG
0.22
0.12
Penalties
—
—

Blackburn Rovers's shots add up to 3.58 xG and Southampton's to 1.65; the published figures are 3.20 and 1.67.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 62' · No goal · 4 m · 0.67 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryoya Morishita · 49' · No goal · 11 m · 0.59 xG Blackburn Rovers · Andri Guðjohnsen · 86' · Goal · 7 m · 0.56 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 49' · No goal · 4 m · 0.53 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 53' · No goal · 14 m · 0.46 xG Southampton · Adam Armstrong · 66' · No goal · 15 m · 0.33 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 23' · Goal · 11 m · 0.32 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 62' · No goal · 11 m · 0.26 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 11' · No goal · 16 m · 0.25 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryan Hedges · 86' · No goal · 9 m · 0.25 xG Southampton · Mads Roerslev · 54' · No goal · 10 m · 0.14 xG Blackburn Rovers · Sean McLoughlin · 85' · No goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG Blackburn Rovers · Sean McLoughlin · 53' · No goal · 4 m · 0.10 xG Southampton · Nathan Wood · 17' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG Southampton · Finn Azaz · 60' · No goal · 22 m · 0.08 xG Blackburn Rovers · Axel Henriksson · 78' · No goal · 13 m · 0.06 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 83' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Southampton · Cameron Archer · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Southampton · Joshua Quarshie · 41' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 10' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 4' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Southampton · Ronnie Edwards · 30' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Blackburn Rovers · Sean McLoughlin · 76' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 35' · No goal · 29 m · 0.03 xG Southampton · Leo Scienza · 8' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 25' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Yuki Ohashi · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Taylor Gardner-Hickman · 61' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Taylor Gardner-Hickman · 60' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Blackburn Rovers · Ryan Alebiosu · 76' · Goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

30 shots · 5.23 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Blackburn Rovers
  • Southampton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Blackburn Rovers

1.08 xG created 0.94 xGA

  • W 1.45 created, 0.75 conceded against Watford
  • L 0.55 created, 1.47 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 0.61 created, 0.46 conceded against Swansea City
  • D 1.88 created, 0.81 conceded against Stoke City
  • L 1.14 created, 0.88 conceded against Coventry City
  • L 0.82 created, 1.28 conceded against Sheffield United
Southampton

1.65 xG created 1.08 xGA

  • L 1.07 created, 2.13 conceded against Hull City
  • D 0.85 created, 0.29 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • W 1.61 created, 0.85 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 1.06 created, 1.36 conceded against Derby County
  • D 3.10 created, 0.20 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 2.20 created, 1.63 conceded against Bristol City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.