Blackburn Rovers 1:2 Derby County: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 08/11/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Championship

Blackburn Rovers Home 1.09 xG · 8 shots

Derby County Away 0.95 xG · 6 shots

12 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

19' Carlton Morris Derby County · 0.17 xG chance 0–1
45' Patrick Agyemang Derby County · 0.06 xG chance 0–2
66' Yuki Ohashi (pen.) Blackburn Rovers · 0.82 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Blackburn Rovers Derby County

Shots: 8; 6
On target: 3; 4
Inside the box: 6; 5
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.16
Open play xG: 0.06; 0.77
Set-piece xG: 0.24; 0.21
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.30 for Blackburn Rovers and 1.00 for Derby County.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

14 shots · 2.11 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Blackburn Rovers
Derby County
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Blackburn Rovers

1.77 xG created 1.07 xGA

D 1.88 created, 0.81 conceded against Stoke City
L 1.14 created, 0.88 conceded against Coventry City
L 0.82 created, 1.28 conceded against Sheffield United
W 3.20 created, 1.67 conceded against Southampton
W 1.91 created, 1.23 conceded against Leicester City
W 1.66 created, 0.52 conceded against Bristol City

Derby County

1.20 xG created 1.36 xGA

D 1.36 created, 1.06 conceded against Southampton
L 0.25 created, 2.17 conceded against Oxford United
W 0.95 created, 1.11 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.67 created, 0.38 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 2.15 created, 2.16 conceded against Sheffield United
W 0.84 created, 1.28 conceded against Hull City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.