xgEdge

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 13:30

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Match report · Championship

Oxford United 1:2 Preston North End

Oxford United Home 1.57 xG · 24 shots
Preston North End Away 0.61 xG · 8 shots
12 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 26' Jordan Storey Preston North End · 0.14 xG chance 0–1
  2. 49' Daniel Jebbison Preston North End · 0.15 xG chance 0–2
  3. 53' Brian De Keersmaecker Oxford United · 0.07 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Oxford United Preston North End
Shots
24
8
On target
8
2
Inside the box
16
5
xG per shot
0.07
0.08
Open play xG
0.59
0.17
Set-piece xG
1.01
0.47
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.60 for Oxford United and 0.64 for Preston North End.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Oxford United · Michał Helik · 39' · No goal · 4 m · 0.27 xG Oxford United · Will Lankshear · 69' · No goal · 7 m · 0.21 xG Preston North End · Daniel Jebbison · 49' · Goal · 6 m · 0.15 xG Preston North End · Jordan Storey · 26' · Goal · 3 m · 0.14 xG Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 40' · No goal · 4 m · 0.13 xG Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 39' · No goal · 8 m · 0.12 xG Preston North End · Harrison Armstrong · 10' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Preston North End · Daniel Jebbison · 30' · No goal · 11 m · 0.09 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 34' · No goal · 12 m · 0.08 xG Oxford United · Tyler Goodrham · 74' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Oxford United · Brian De Keersmaecker · 53' · Goal · 17 m · 0.07 xG Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 39' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 39' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 80' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Oxford United · Greg Leigh · 12' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG Oxford United · Michał Helik · 38' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Ciaron Brown · 39' · No goal · 5 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Will Vaulks · 59' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Greg Leigh · 58' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Oxford United · Ole Romeny · 14' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Ole Romeny · 38' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Oxford United · Nik Prelec · 66' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 21' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Michał Helik · 52' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Ole Romeny · 63' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Ben Davies · 18' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Greg Leigh · 11' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Will Vaulks · 31' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Brian De Keersmaecker · 19' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Brian De Keersmaecker · 52' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 53' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Preston North End · Stefán Teitur Þórðarson · 89' · No goal · 26 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

32 shots · 2.23 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Oxford United
  • Preston North End
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Oxford United

0.87 xG created 1.49 xGA

  • L 0.95 created, 1.61 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • D 0.53 created, 1.06 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 0.82 created, 1.42 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.24 created, 1.70 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • L 1.41 created, 0.89 conceded against Swansea City
  • D 0.29 created, 2.28 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
Preston North End

1.00 xG created 1.74 xGA

  • D 0.68 created, 1.82 conceded against Millwall
  • L 1.70 created, 1.23 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 0.98 created, 1.70 conceded against Watford
  • W 0.94 created, 2.33 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • D 1.43 created, 1.40 conceded against Wrexham
  • D 0.29 created, 1.95 conceded against Coventry City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.