xgEdge

Expected goals

Legia Warszawa expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ekstraklasa · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

Legia Warszawa's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Legia Warszawa xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.71 xG per match
#4/18
Attack (xG per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.99
#3 GKS Katowice 1.77
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.71
#5 Górnik Zabrze 1.58
#6 Widzew Łódź 1.57
#7 Wieczysta Kraków 1.57
#8 Cracovia 1.53
#9 Wisła Płock 1.52
#10 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.50
#11 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#12 Raków Częstochowa 1.42
#13 Radomiak Radom 1.41
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 1.40
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.40
#16 Motor Lublin 1.39
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 1.35
#18 Piast Gliwice 1.22
League avg
1.54
Total
15.36 9 matches
Defence
1.27 xGA per match
#5/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Lech Poznań 0.89
#2 Górnik Zabrze 1.05
#3 Wisła Kraków 1.10
#4 Zagłębie Lubin 1.22
#5 Legia Warszawa 1.27
#6 Pogoń Szczecin 1.38
#7 Cracovia 1.43
#8 MKS Korona Kielce 1.48
#9 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.52
#10 Motor Lublin 1.53
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 1.60
#12 Wisła Płock 1.63
#13 Widzew Łódź 1.67
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 1.73
#15 Piast Gliwice 1.87
#16 GKS Katowice 2.00
#17 Radomiak Radom 2.05
#18 Raków Częstochowa 2.36
League avg
1.54
Total
11.46 9 matches
xG difference
+0.43 xGD per match
#4/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Lech Poznań +1.18
#2 Wisła Kraków +0.89
#3 Górnik Zabrze +0.53
#4 Legia Warszawa +0.43
#5 Zagłębie Lubin +0.13
#6 Cracovia +0.10
#7 Pogoń Szczecin +0.10
#8 Jagiellonia Białystok -0.03
#9 Wieczysta Kraków -0.04
#10 MKS Korona Kielce -0.07
#11 Widzew Łódź -0.10
#12 Wisła Płock -0.11
#13 Motor Lublin -0.14
#14 GKS Katowice -0.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław -0.34
#16 Radomiak Radom -0.64
#17 Piast Gliwice -0.65
#18 Raków Częstochowa -0.94
League avg
0.00
Total
+3.90 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.66 xPts per match
#4/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.97
#3 Górnik Zabrze 1.79
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.66
#5 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#6 Zagłębie Lubin 1.47
#7 Cracovia 1.42
#8 Wieczysta Kraków 1.33
#9 GKS Katowice 1.30
#10 Wisła Płock 1.30
#11 Widzew Łódź 1.29
#12 MKS Korona Kielce 1.27
#13 Motor Lublin 1.26
#14 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.20
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.99
#17 Piast Gliwice 0.96
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
14.98 vs 19 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Legia Warszawa's underlying numbers are among the best in Ekstraklasa. They rank #4 for xG difference at +0.43 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 19 goals are 3.64 above 15.36 xG, while 19 points are 4.02 above 14.98 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.05 xG from penalties
19 15.36 +3.64 scored 3.64 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
8 11.46 -3.46 conceded 3.46 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
19 14.98 +4.02 4.02 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Legia Warszawa are 3.64 goals above their xG after 9 matches.

Goals
19
xG
15.36
Gap
+3.64
Fri 24/07 Sun 02/08 Sat 08/08 Fri 14/08 Sat 22/08 Fri 28/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -2.02 -0.72 -0.41 +2.91 +2.93 +2.11 +2.85 +2.39 +3.64 -2.02 +1.30 +0.31 +3.32 +0.02 -0.82 +0.74 -0.46 +1.25 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Legia Warszawa: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 24/07 Pogoń Szczecin 1 3.02 -2.02 -2.02
Sun 02/08 Zagłębie Lubin 3 1.70 +1.30 -0.72
Sat 08/08 MKS Korona Kielce 1 0.69 +0.31 -0.41
Fri 14/08 Radomiak Radom 5 1.68 +3.32 +2.91
Sat 22/08 Piast Gliwice 1 0.98 +0.02 +2.93
Fri 28/08 Śląsk Wrocław 1 1.82 -0.82 +2.11
Sat 05/09 Motor Lublin 3 2.26 +0.74 +2.85
Sun 13/09 Widzew Łódź 1 1.46 -0.46 +2.39
Sun 20/09 Jagiellonia Białystok 3 1.75 +1.25 +3.64

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Legia Warszawa xG trend

Current form +0.21 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 9 matches. The worst was against Jagiellonia Białystok on Sun 20/09 (-0.43).

npxG · last 6
1.46
npxGA · last 6
1.24
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +2.13 Fri 24/07 +0.67 Sun 02/08 -0.02 Sat 08/08 +1.15 Fri 14/08 -0.17 Sat 22/08 +0.84 Fri 28/08 +0.19 Sat 05/09 -0.29 Sun 13/09 -0.43 Sun 20/09 +0.45 season avg
Legia Warszawa: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 24/07 Pogoń Szczecin 3.21 1.08 +2.13 +2.13
Sun 02/08 Zagłębie Lubin 1.70 1.03 +0.67 +1.40
Sat 08/08 MKS Korona Kielce 0.65 0.67 -0.02 +0.93
Fri 14/08 Radomiak Radom 1.64 0.49 +1.15 +0.98
Sat 22/08 Piast Gliwice 0.98 1.15 -0.17 +0.75
Fri 28/08 Śląsk Wrocław 1.82 0.98 +0.84 +0.77
Sat 05/09 Motor Lublin 1.72 1.53 +0.19 +0.68
Sun 13/09 Widzew Łódź 1.51 1.80 -0.29 +0.56
Sun 20/09 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.08 1.51 -0.43 +0.45

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.59 npxG and 1.14 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 18 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
−0.15 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 18 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
−0.15 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.15 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 18 hardest of 18

  1. Jagiellonia Białystok Away −0.10
  2. Widzew Łódź Home −0.10
  3. Motor Lublin Away −0.15
  4. Śląsk Wrocław Home −0.29
  5. Piast Gliwice Away −0.09
  6. Radomiak Radom Home −0.29
  7. MKS Korona Kielce Away −0.13
  8. Zagłębie Lubin Home −0.15
  9. Pogoń Szczecin Away −0.10

Last 5

−0.15 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 18 hardest of 18

  1. Jagiellonia Białystok Away −0.10
  2. Widzew Łódź Home −0.10
  3. Motor Lublin Away −0.15
  4. Śląsk Wrocław Home −0.29
  5. Piast Gliwice Away −0.09

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Legia Warszawa shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Legia Warszawa take 15.4 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #4 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #5 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 41% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.4 shots per match
#4/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Wisła Kraków 19.1
#2 Lech Poznań 18.9
#3 GKS Katowice 16.8
#4 Legia Warszawa 15.4
#5 Widzew Łódź 15.3
=6 Cracovia 15.1
=6 Raków Częstochowa 15.1
#8 Wisła Płock 14.9
=9 Motor Lublin 14.7
=9 Radomiak Radom 14.7
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 14.5
#12 Piast Gliwice 14.0
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 13.7
#14 Pogoń Szczecin 13.5
#15 Górnik Zabrze 13.4
#16 Jagiellonia Białystok 13.4
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 13.3
#18 Śląsk Wrocław 12.0
League avg
14.9
Total
139 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#5/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Lech Poznań 0.11
#2 Pogoń Szczecin 0.11
#3 Wisła Płock 0.11
#4 Śląsk Wrocław 0.10
#5 Legia Warszawa 0.10
#6 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#7 Zagłębie Lubin 0.10
#8 Górnik Zabrze 0.10
#9 Widzew Łódź 0.10
#10 Cracovia 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Wisła Kraków 0.10
#13 GKS Katowice 0.09
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 0.09
#15 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.09
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.08
#17 Raków Częstochowa 0.08
#18 Piast Gliwice 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
14.31 npxG from 139 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.7 shots per match
#4/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Lech Poznań 11.1
#2 Górnik Zabrze 11.4
#3 Wisła Kraków 12.0
#4 Legia Warszawa 12.7
#5 Motor Lublin 13.9
#6 MKS Korona Kielce 14.0
#7 Wisła Płock 14.4
#8 Widzew Łódź 14.9
#9 Cracovia 15.1
#10 Raków Częstochowa 15.3
#11 Zagłębie Lubin 15.8
=12 Jagiellonia Białystok 16.1
=12 Pogoń Szczecin 16.1
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 16.2
#15 GKS Katowice 16.9
#16 Wieczysta Kraków 17.0
#17 Piast Gliwice 17.2
#18 Radomiak Radom 17.6
League avg
14.9
Total
114 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#8/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Zagłębie Lubin 0.06
#2 Cracovia 0.07
#3 Lech Poznań 0.08
#4 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.08
#5 Górnik Zabrze 0.08
#6 Wisła Kraków 0.09
#7 Pogoń Szczecin 0.09
#8 Legia Warszawa 0.09
#9 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#10 Wisła Płock 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Piast Gliwice 0.10
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 0.10
#14 GKS Katowice 0.11
#15 Radomiak Radom 0.11
#16 Śląsk Wrocław 0.11
#17 Widzew Łódź 0.12
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
10.24 npxGA from 114 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

65% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 91 of 139 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

66% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 75 of 114 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

59% open play · 41% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 5.7 of 14.1 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.0 of 10.1 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Legia Warszawa home and away xG

Legia Warszawa per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.67 1.74
xGA / match 1.19 1.34
xGD / match +0.47 +0.40
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.75 1.59

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Legia Warszawa match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.71
xGA / match
1.27
xGD / match
+0.43
Points
19 of 27
  1. Sun 20/09 Jagiellonia Białystok A Weakest underlying xG 1.75 P xGA 2.30 P xGD -0.55
  2. Sun 13/09 Widzew Łódź H xG 1.46 xGA 1.60 xGD -0.14
  3. Sat 05/09 Motor Lublin A xG 2.26 P xGA 1.48 xGD +0.78
  4. Fri 28/08 Śląsk Wrocław H xG 1.82 xGA 1.76 P xGD +0.06
  5. Sat 22/08 Piast Gliwice A xG 0.98 xGA 1.10 xGD -0.12
  6. Fri 14/08 Radomiak Radom H xG 1.68 xGA 0.38 xGD +1.30
  7. Sat 08/08 MKS Korona Kielce A xG 0.69 xGA 0.73 xGD -0.04
  8. Sun 02/08 Zagłębie Lubin H xG 1.70 xGA 1.03 xGD +0.67
  9. Fri 24/07 Pogoń Szczecin A Best underlying xG 3.02 xGA 1.08 xGD +1.94

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.02. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Legia Warszawa in Ekstraklasa

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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