xgEdge

Expected goals

MKS Korona Kielce expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ekstraklasa · after 9 matches · updated 4 Oct

MKS Korona Kielce's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

MKS Korona Kielce xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.40 xG per match
#14/18
Attack (xG per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.99
#3 GKS Katowice 1.77
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.71
#5 Górnik Zabrze 1.58
#6 Widzew Łódź 1.57
#7 Wieczysta Kraków 1.57
#8 Cracovia 1.53
#9 Wisła Płock 1.52
#10 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.50
#11 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#12 Raków Częstochowa 1.42
#13 Radomiak Radom 1.41
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 1.40
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.40
#16 Motor Lublin 1.39
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 1.35
#18 Piast Gliwice 1.22
League avg
1.54
Total
12.62 9 matches
Defence
1.48 xGA per match
#8/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Lech Poznań 0.89
#2 Górnik Zabrze 1.05
#3 Wisła Kraków 1.10
#4 Zagłębie Lubin 1.22
#5 Legia Warszawa 1.27
#6 Pogoń Szczecin 1.38
#7 Cracovia 1.43
#8 MKS Korona Kielce 1.48
#9 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.52
#10 Motor Lublin 1.53
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 1.60
#12 Wisła Płock 1.63
#13 Widzew Łódź 1.67
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 1.73
#15 Piast Gliwice 1.87
#16 GKS Katowice 2.00
#17 Radomiak Radom 2.05
#18 Raków Częstochowa 2.36
League avg
1.54
Total
13.29 9 matches
xG difference
-0.07 xGD per match
#10/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Lech Poznań +1.18
#2 Wisła Kraków +0.89
#3 Górnik Zabrze +0.53
#4 Legia Warszawa +0.43
#5 Zagłębie Lubin +0.13
#6 Cracovia +0.10
#7 Pogoń Szczecin +0.10
#8 Jagiellonia Białystok -0.03
#9 Wieczysta Kraków -0.04
#10 MKS Korona Kielce -0.07
#11 Widzew Łódź -0.10
#12 Wisła Płock -0.11
#13 Motor Lublin -0.14
#14 GKS Katowice -0.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław -0.34
#16 Radomiak Radom -0.64
#17 Piast Gliwice -0.65
#18 Raków Częstochowa -0.94
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.67 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.27 xPts per match
#12/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.97
#3 Górnik Zabrze 1.79
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.66
#5 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#6 Zagłębie Lubin 1.47
#7 Cracovia 1.42
#8 Wieczysta Kraków 1.33
#9 GKS Katowice 1.30
#10 Wisła Płock 1.30
#11 Widzew Łódź 1.29
#12 MKS Korona Kielce 1.27
#13 Motor Lublin 1.26
#14 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.20
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.99
#17 Piast Gliwice 0.96
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
11.47 vs 15 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

MKS Korona Kielce's underlying numbers sit close to the Ekstraklasa average. They rank #10 for xG difference at -0.07 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 12 goals are 0.62 below 12.62 xG, while 15 points are 3.53 above 11.47 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.51 xG from penalties
12 12.62 -0.62 scored 0.62 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
10 13.29 -3.29 conceded 3.29 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
15 11.47 +3.53 3.53 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

MKS Korona Kielce are 0.62 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -0.77, against Jagiellonia Białystok on Sat 25/07.

Goals
12
xG
12.62
Gap
-0.62
Sat 25/07 Sat 08/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Fri 28/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Tue 15/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 -0.77 -0.50 -0.59 -0.47 +0.61 +0.47 -0.07 -0.16 -0.62 -0.77 +0.27 -0.09 +0.12 +1.08 -0.14 -0.54 -0.09 -0.46 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
MKS Korona Kielce: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 Jagiellonia Białystok 0 0.77 -0.77 -0.77
Sat 08/08 Legia Warszawa 1 0.73 +0.27 -0.50
Sat 15/08 Widzew Łódź 2 2.09 -0.09 -0.59
Sat 22/08 Motor Lublin 1 0.88 +0.12 -0.47
Fri 28/08 Wisła Płock 2 0.92 +1.08 +0.61
Sat 05/09 Wisła Kraków 1 1.14 -0.14 +0.47
Sat 12/09 Śląsk Wrocław 2 2.54 -0.54 -0.07
Tue 15/09 Górnik Zabrze 0 0.09 -0.09 -0.16
Sat 19/09 Raków Częstochowa 3 3.46 -0.46 -0.62

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

MKS Korona Kielce xG trend

Current form -0.25 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 9 matches. The worst was against Górnik Zabrze on Tue 15/09 (-1.68).

npxG · last 6
1.26
npxGA · last 6
1.50
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.31 Sat 25/07 +0.02 Sat 08/08 -0.18 Sat 15/08 +0.20 Sat 22/08 -1.34 Fri 28/08 -0.21 Sat 05/09 +1.50 Sat 12/09 -1.68 Tue 15/09 +0.06 Sat 19/09 -0.22 season avg
MKS Korona Kielce: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.77 1.08 -0.31 -0.31
Sat 08/08 Legia Warszawa 0.67 0.65 +0.02 -0.15
Sat 15/08 Widzew Łódź 2.13 2.31 -0.18 -0.16
Sat 22/08 Motor Lublin 0.88 0.68 +0.20 -0.07
Fri 28/08 Wisła Płock 0.92 2.26 -1.34 -0.32
Sat 05/09 Wisła Kraków 1.14 1.35 -0.21 -0.30
Sat 12/09 Śląsk Wrocław 2.63 1.13 +1.50 -0.05
Tue 15/09 Górnik Zabrze 0.09 1.77 -1.68 -0.25
Sat 19/09 Raków Częstochowa 1.88 1.82 +0.06 -0.22

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.23 npxG and 1.45 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 10 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
tied number 6 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 10 hardest of 18

  1. Raków Częstochowa Home −0.23
  2. Górnik Zabrze Home +0.27
  3. Śląsk Wrocław Away −0.29
  4. Wisła Kraków Home +0.40
  5. Wisła Płock Away +0.01
  6. Motor Lublin Home −0.15
  7. Widzew Łódź Away −0.10
  8. Legia Warszawa Home +0.14
  9. Jagiellonia Białystok Away −0.10

Last 5

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 18

  1. Raków Częstochowa Home −0.23
  2. Górnik Zabrze Home +0.27
  3. Śląsk Wrocław Away −0.29
  4. Wisła Kraków Home +0.40
  5. Wisła Płock Away +0.01

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

MKS Korona Kielce shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. MKS Korona Kielce take 13.7 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #13 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #14 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 27% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.7 shots per match
#13/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Wisła Kraków 19.1
#2 Lech Poznań 18.9
#3 GKS Katowice 16.8
#4 Legia Warszawa 15.4
#5 Widzew Łódź 15.3
=6 Cracovia 15.1
=6 Raków Częstochowa 15.1
#8 Wisła Płock 14.9
=9 Motor Lublin 14.7
=9 Radomiak Radom 14.7
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 14.5
#12 Piast Gliwice 14.0
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 13.7
#14 Pogoń Szczecin 13.5
#15 Górnik Zabrze 13.4
#16 Jagiellonia Białystok 13.4
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 13.3
#18 Śląsk Wrocław 12.0
League avg
14.9
Total
123 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#14/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Lech Poznań 0.11
#2 Pogoń Szczecin 0.11
#3 Wisła Płock 0.11
#4 Śląsk Wrocław 0.10
#5 Legia Warszawa 0.10
#6 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#7 Zagłębie Lubin 0.10
#8 Górnik Zabrze 0.10
#9 Widzew Łódź 0.10
#10 Cracovia 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Wisła Kraków 0.10
#13 GKS Katowice 0.09
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 0.09
#15 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.09
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.08
#17 Raków Częstochowa 0.08
#18 Piast Gliwice 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
11.11 npxG from 123 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.0 shots per match
#6/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Lech Poznań 11.1
#2 Górnik Zabrze 11.4
#3 Wisła Kraków 12.0
#4 Legia Warszawa 12.7
#5 Motor Lublin 13.9
#6 MKS Korona Kielce 14.0
#7 Wisła Płock 14.4
#8 Widzew Łódź 14.9
#9 Cracovia 15.1
#10 Raków Częstochowa 15.3
#11 Zagłębie Lubin 15.8
=12 Jagiellonia Białystok 16.1
=12 Pogoń Szczecin 16.1
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 16.2
#15 GKS Katowice 16.9
#16 Wieczysta Kraków 17.0
#17 Piast Gliwice 17.2
#18 Radomiak Radom 17.6
League avg
14.9
Total
126 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#13/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Zagłębie Lubin 0.06
#2 Cracovia 0.07
#3 Lech Poznań 0.08
#4 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.08
#5 Górnik Zabrze 0.08
#6 Wisła Kraków 0.09
#7 Pogoń Szczecin 0.09
#8 Legia Warszawa 0.09
#9 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#10 Wisła Płock 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Piast Gliwice 0.10
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 0.10
#14 GKS Katowice 0.11
#15 Radomiak Radom 0.11
#16 Śląsk Wrocław 0.11
#17 Widzew Łódź 0.12
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
13.05 npxGA from 126 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

61% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 76 of 124 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

72% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 91 of 126 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 3.0 of 11.3 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

65% open play · 35% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 4.5 of 13.0 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

MKS Korona Kielce home and away xG

MKS Korona Kielce per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 4
xG / match 1.26 1.58
xGA / match 1.26 1.75
xGD / match +0.00 -0.17
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.31 1.23

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every MKS Korona Kielce match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
5
xG / match
1.26
xGA / match
1.26
xGD / match
+0.00
Points
6 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 Raków Częstochowa H Best underlying xG 3.46 P xGA 1.79 xGD +1.67
  2. Tue 15/09 Górnik Zabrze H Weakest underlying xG 0.09 xGA 1.77 xGD -1.68
  3. Sat 05/09 Wisła Kraków H xG 1.14 xGA 1.35 xGD -0.21
  4. Sat 22/08 Motor Lublin H xG 0.88 xGA 0.68 xGD +0.20
  5. Sat 08/08 Legia Warszawa H xG 0.73 xGA 0.69 xGD +0.04

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.46. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

MKS Korona Kielce in Ekstraklasa

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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