xgEdge

Expected goals

IK Start expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eliteserien · after 21 matches · updated 1 Oct

IK Start's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eliteserien 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

IK Start xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.36 xG per match
#11/16
Attack (xG per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.31
#2 Viking FK 2.09
#3 Molde FK 1.83
#4 Tromsø IL 1.60
#5 SK Brann 1.58
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.56
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.56
#8 Vålerenga IF 1.55
#9 Sarpsborg 08 1.51
#10 Aalesunds FK 1.40
#11 IK Start 1.36
#12 Fredrikstad FK 1.20
#13 Sandefjord Fotball 1.18
#14 HamKam 1.14
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.09
#16 Kristiansund BK 0.97
League avg
1.50
Total
28.66 21 matches
Defence
1.61 xGA per match
#10/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.90
#2 Viking FK 1.16
#3 Molde FK 1.17
#4 Tromsø IL 1.23
#5 Sarpsborg 08 1.40
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.42
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#8 SK Brann 1.53
#9 Sandefjord Fotball 1.59
#10 IK Start 1.61
#11 Vålerenga IF 1.63
#12 HamKam 1.66
#13 Fredrikstad FK 1.67
#14 Kristiansund BK 1.72
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.78
#16 Aalesunds FK 1.98
League avg
1.50
Total
33.85 21 matches
xG difference
-0.25 xGD per match
#10/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt +1.41
#2 Viking FK +0.93
#3 Molde FK +0.66
#4 Tromsø IL +0.37
#5 Rosenborg BK +0.14
#6 Sarpsborg 08 +0.11
#7 Lillestrøm SK +0.10
#8 SK Brann +0.05
#9 Vålerenga IF -0.08
#10 IK Start -0.25
#11 Sandefjord Fotball -0.41
#12 Fredrikstad FK -0.47
#13 HamKam -0.52
#14 Aalesunds FK -0.58
#15 KFUM Oslo -0.69
#16 Kristiansund BK -0.75
League avg
0.00
Total
-5.19 21 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.19 xPts per match
#10/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.24
#2 Viking FK 1.97
#3 Molde FK 1.80
#4 Tromsø IL 1.68
#5 Rosenborg BK 1.52
#6 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#7 Sarpsborg 08 1.45
#8 SK Brann 1.40
#9 Vålerenga IF 1.33
#10 IK Start 1.19
#11 Fredrikstad FK 1.10
#12 Sandefjord Fotball 1.09
#13 HamKam 1.05
#14 Aalesunds FK 1.04
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.95
#16 KFUM Oslo 0.94
League avg
1.39
Total
24.99 vs 16 actual pts

What the xG says

IK Start's underlying numbers sit close to the Eliteserien average. They rank #10 for xG difference at -0.25 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 22 goals are 6.66 below 28.66 xG, while 16 points are 8.99 below 24.99 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 2.18 xG from penalties
22 28.66 -6.66 scored 6.66 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
44 33.85 +10.15 conceded 10.15 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
16 24.99 -8.99 8.99 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

IK Start are 6.66 goals below their xG after 21 matches.

Goals
22
xG
28.66
Gap
-6.66
Sun 15/03 Sat 21/03 Mon 06/04 Sat 11/04 Sun 19/04 Sun 26/04 Thu 30/04 Sun 03/05 Sat 16/05 Wed 20/05 Mon 25/05 Fri 29/05 Sun 12/07 Sat 18/07 Sat 25/07 Sat 01/08 Sat 08/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.40 -2.30 -2.11 -1.84 -1.62 -1.39 -2.53 -2.45 -1.00 -1.74 -0.71 -0.43 -0.72 -1.39 -0.86 -3.34 -5.11 -4.54 -6.21 -6.43 -6.66 -0.40 -1.90 +0.19 +0.27 +0.22 +0.23 -1.14 +0.08 +1.45 -0.74 +1.03 +0.28 -0.29 -0.67 +0.53 -2.48 -1.77 +0.57 -1.67 -0.22 -0.23 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
IK Start: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 15/03 KFUM Oslo 0 0.40 -0.40 -0.40
Sat 21/03 Aalesunds FK 1 2.90 -1.90 -2.30
Mon 06/04 Sarpsborg 08 1 0.81 +0.19 -2.11
Sat 11/04 Lillestrøm SK 1 0.73 +0.27 -1.84
Sun 19/04 Molde FK 1 0.78 +0.22 -1.62
Sun 26/04 HamKam 1 0.77 +0.23 -1.39
Thu 30/04 Bodø/Glimt 0 1.14 -1.14 -2.53
Sun 03/05 Tromsø IL 1 0.92 +0.08 -2.45
Sat 16/05 Viking FK 3 1.55 +1.45 -1.00
Wed 20/05 Bodø/Glimt 1 1.74 -0.74 -1.74
Mon 25/05 Vålerenga IF 2 0.97 +1.03 -0.71
Fri 29/05 Fredrikstad FK 1 0.72 +0.28 -0.43
Sun 12/07 SK Brann 1 1.29 -0.29 -0.72
Sat 18/07 Rosenborg BK 0 0.67 -0.67 -1.39
Sat 25/07 Kristiansund BK 2 1.47 +0.53 -0.86
Sat 01/08 Viking FK 0 2.48 -2.48 -3.34
Sat 08/08 Fredrikstad FK 0 1.77 -1.77 -5.11
Sun 30/08 KFUM Oslo 4 3.43 +0.57 -4.54
Fri 04/09 Aalesunds FK 0 1.67 -1.67 -6.21
Sun 13/09 SK Brann 2 2.22 -0.22 -6.43
Sun 20/09 Sandefjord Fotball 0 0.23 -0.23 -6.66

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

IK Start xG trend

Current form +0.41 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 7 of 21 matches. The worst was against Sandefjord Fotball on Sun 20/09 (-1.89).

npxG · last 6
1.88
npxGA · last 6
1.47
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -0.74 Sun 15/03 +1.16 Sat 21/03 -1.00 Mon 06/04 -1.09 Sat 11/04 -0.25 Sun 19/04 -0.40 Sun 26/04 -1.60 Thu 30/04 +0.49 Sun 03/05 -0.32 Sat 16/05 -1.32 Wed 20/05 -0.16 Mon 25/05 -0.78 Fri 29/05 -0.40 Sun 12/07 -0.13 Sat 18/07 +1.31 Sat 25/07 +1.08 Sat 01/08 +0.16 Sat 08/08 +2.69 Sun 30/08 -0.73 Fri 04/09 +1.13 Sun 13/09 -1.89 Sun 20/09 -0.13 season avg
IK Start: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 15/03 KFUM Oslo 0.41 1.15 -0.74 -0.74
Sat 21/03 Aalesunds FK 2.12 0.96 +1.16 +0.21
Mon 06/04 Sarpsborg 08 0.81 1.81 -1.00 -0.19
Sat 11/04 Lillestrøm SK 0.73 1.82 -1.09 -0.42
Sun 19/04 Molde FK 0.78 1.03 -0.25 -0.38
Sun 26/04 HamKam 0.77 1.17 -0.40 -0.39
Thu 30/04 Bodø/Glimt 1.53 3.13 -1.60 -0.56
Sun 03/05 Tromsø IL 0.92 0.43 +0.49 -0.43
Sat 16/05 Viking FK 1.22 1.54 -0.32 -0.42
Wed 20/05 Bodø/Glimt 0.61 1.93 -1.32 -0.51
Mon 25/05 Vålerenga IF 0.96 1.12 -0.16 -0.48
Fri 29/05 Fredrikstad FK 0.68 1.46 -0.78 -0.50
Sun 12/07 SK Brann 1.29 1.69 -0.40 -0.49
Sat 18/07 Rosenborg BK 0.65 0.78 -0.13 -0.47
Sat 25/07 Kristiansund BK 1.72 0.41 +1.31 -0.35
Sat 01/08 Viking FK 1.75 0.67 +1.08 -0.26
Sat 08/08 Fredrikstad FK 1.77 1.61 +0.16 -0.23
Sun 30/08 KFUM Oslo 3.55 0.86 +2.69 -0.07
Fri 04/09 Aalesunds FK 1.74 2.47 -0.73 -0.11
Sun 13/09 SK Brann 2.24 1.11 +1.13 -0.05
Sun 20/09 Sandefjord Fotball 0.23 2.12 -1.89 -0.13

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.26 npxG and 1.39 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 8 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 21 league matches
Last 5
tied number 15 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
−0.19 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 21 matches · tied number 8 hardest of 16

  1. Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
  2. SK Brann Home 0.00
  3. Aalesunds FK Away −0.12
  4. KFUM Oslo Home −0.52
  5. Fredrikstad FK Home −0.20
  6. Viking FK Home +0.35
  7. Kristiansund BK Away −0.36
  8. Rosenborg BK Home +0.14
  9. SK Brann Away 0.00
  10. Fredrikstad FK Away −0.20
  11. Vålerenga IF Home +0.11
  12. Bodø/Glimt Home +0.79
  13. Viking FK Away +0.35
  14. Tromsø IL Home +0.08
  15. Bodø/Glimt Away +0.79
  16. HamKam Away −0.51
  17. Molde FK Home +0.35
  18. Lillestrøm SK Away −0.10
  19. Sarpsborg 08 Away +0.08
  20. Aalesunds FK Home −0.12
  21. KFUM Oslo Away −0.52

Last 5

−0.19 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 15 hardest of 16

  1. Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
  2. SK Brann Home 0.00
  3. Aalesunds FK Away −0.12
  4. KFUM Oslo Home −0.52
  5. Fredrikstad FK Home −0.20

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

IK Start shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. IK Start take 14.0 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #8 in Eliteserien for volume and #12 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 27% of their npxG (league 24%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.0 shots per match
#8/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 17.7
=2 Viking FK 16.2
=2 Vålerenga IF 16.2
#4 Aalesunds FK 15.6
#5 Molde FK 15.4
#6 Sandefjord Fotball 14.5
#7 SK Brann 14.1
#8 IK Start 14.0
#9 Rosenborg BK 13.6
#10 Tromsø IL 13.5
#11 Sarpsborg 08 13.3
#12 Lillestrøm SK 12.5
#13 Kristiansund BK 12.5
#14 Fredrikstad FK 11.3
#15 KFUM Oslo 10.5
#16 HamKam 10.4
League avg
13.8
Total
295 shots from 21 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#12/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#2 Tromsø IL 0.11
#3 Viking FK 0.11
#4 Molde FK 0.11
#5 Lillestrøm SK 0.10
#6 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#7 Sarpsborg 08 0.10
#8 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#9 HamKam 0.10
#10 SK Brann 0.10
#11 KFUM Oslo 0.09
#12 IK Start 0.09
#13 Vålerenga IF 0.09
#14 Aalesunds FK 0.09
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.08
#16 Sandefjord Fotball 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
26.48 npxG from 295 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.4 shots per match
#9/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 8.3
#2 Tromsø IL 11.2
#3 Molde FK 12.0
#4 Viking FK 13.0
#5 Sarpsborg 08 13.1
#6 Rosenborg BK 13.3
#7 Lillestrøm SK 13.9
#8 SK Brann 14.4
#9 IK Start 14.4
#10 KFUM Oslo 14.7
#11 Vålerenga IF 14.8
#12 Fredrikstad FK 15.0
=13 Kristiansund BK 15.0
=13 Sandefjord Fotball 15.0
#15 HamKam 16.4
#16 Aalesunds FK 16.9
League avg
13.8
Total
303 shots allowed from 21 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#6/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viking FK 0.08
#2 Sandefjord Fotball 0.09
#3 Lillestrøm SK 0.09
#4 Sarpsborg 08 0.09
#5 Molde FK 0.09
#6 IK Start 0.10
#7 SK Brann 0.10
#8 Vålerenga IF 0.10
#9 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#10 HamKam 0.10
#11 Kristiansund BK 0.10
#12 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#13 Tromsø IL 0.10
#14 KFUM Oslo 0.10
#15 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#16 Aalesunds FK 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
29.27 npxGA from 303 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 196 of 295 shots over 21 matches

Shots allowed, location

69% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 210 of 303 shots allowed over 21 matches

Where the npxG comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 7.1 of 26.7 npxG over 21 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

85% open play · 15% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 4.3 of 29.2 npxG allowed over 21 matches

How the shot figures are made →

IK Start home and away xG

IK Start per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 10 11
xG / match 1.79 0.98
xGA / match 1.44 1.76
xGD / match +0.34 -0.78
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.57 0.84

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every IK Start match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
21
xG / match
1.36
xGA / match
1.61
xGD / match
-0.25
Points
16 of 63
  1. Sun 20/09 Sandefjord Fotball A xG 0.23 xGA 2.24 xGD -2.01
  2. Sun 13/09 SK Brann H xG 2.22 xGA 1.15 xGD +1.07
  3. Fri 04/09 Aalesunds FK A xG 1.67 xGA 2.42 xGD -0.75
  4. Sun 30/08 KFUM Oslo H xG 3.43 xGA 1.65 P xGD +1.78
  5. Sat 08/08 Fredrikstad FK H xG 1.77 xGA 1.53 xGD +0.24
  6. Sat 01/08 Viking FK H xG 2.48 P xGA 1.57 P xGD +0.91
  7. Sat 25/07 Kristiansund BK A xG 1.47 xGA 0.54 xGD +0.93
  8. Sat 18/07 Rosenborg BK H xG 0.67 xGA 1.57 P xGD -0.90
  9. Sun 12/07 SK Brann A xG 1.29 xGA 1.83 xGD -0.54
  10. Fri 29/05 Fredrikstad FK A xG 0.72 xGA 1.59 xGD -0.87
  11. Mon 25/05 Vålerenga IF H xG 0.97 xGA 1.09 xGD -0.12
  12. Wed 20/05 Bodø/Glimt H xG 1.74 P xGA 3.01 P xGD -1.27
  13. Sat 16/05 Viking FK A xG 1.55 xGA 1.59 xGD -0.04
  14. Sun 03/05 Tromsø IL H xG 0.92 xGA 0.43 xGD +0.49
  15. Thu 30/04 Bodø/Glimt A Weakest underlying xG 1.14 xGA 3.27 xGD -2.13
  16. Sun 26/04 HamKam A xG 0.77 xGA 1.16 xGD -0.39
  17. Sun 19/04 Molde FK H xG 0.78 xGA 1.48 xGD -0.70
  18. Sat 11/04 Lillestrøm SK A xG 0.73 xGA 1.81 xGD -1.08
  19. Mon 06/04 Sarpsborg 08 A xG 0.81 xGA 1.81 xGD -1.00
  20. Sat 21/03 Aalesunds FK H Best underlying xG 2.90 P xGA 0.96 xGD +1.94
  21. Sun 15/03 KFUM Oslo A xG 0.40 xGA 1.15 xGD -0.75

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.43. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

IK Start in Eliteserien

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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